crassbonanza
Fire Luc
- Sep 28, 2017
- 3,266
- 3,146
You keep saying 4th line, I, and you can reread the quote, stated 3rd or 4th line.. And yes, 2% chance of a superstar. Now do this math.. Every team drafts 7 players every year(in theory as they may have traded picks). So 217 players drafted into the system, maybe a few undrafted sign into the system.. 220 players in, I don't think 220 retire from the NHL every year so most prospect won't really get much chance unless they can supersede an NHL player. I like the idea that shesty is a superstar but 5 games into his NHL career is premature although he looks great and I'm excited for him..
No. You placed an artificial ceiling of "mediocre 3rd/4th liner". If that truly was the ceiling, the draft likely wouldn't even go 3 rounds and noone would care about trading for 3rd round draft picks. Everyone understands the odds, but if that really is the ceiling it becomes pointless. However, that is not the ceiling because you can draft a: Ghostbear(2012), Parayko(2012), Murray(2012), Pesce(2013), Bjorkstrand(2013), Buchnevic(2013), Guentzel(2013), Duclair(2013), Point(2014), Cirelli(2015), Fox(2016), Batherson(2017), etc.
My point is that 3rd round picks are not capped out at replaceable forward.