Sidney the Kidney
One last time
- Jun 29, 2009
- 55,876
- 47,116
Respecting point number 1, we debated at length last year this with Lightning fans.
The case study to look at for “production doesn’t increase linearly with more ice time” is Kucherov. Analyze his game splits from last season.
Under 22 mins - approx 1.5 ppg (I think it might have been much higher this is off the top of my head without going back)
Over 22 mins - approx 1.0 ppg.
So not only did it not increase linearly with more ice time, it actually decreased when he played heavier minutes.
Never really understood the argument that p/60 would increase at a linear rate with increased ice time. I'd be on board if the person was arguing RAW totals would go up a bit with more ice time (ie. someone producing 80 points in 18 minutes a night probably produces another half dozen or so points if they got 21 minutes a night), but not some linear increase in p/60.