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- Aug 12, 2005
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why give him term?
I'm thinking it's a Garnet Hathaway comparison?
why give him term?
I'm curious - how many 4th lines DO have favorable ES CF? How does the Canucks 4th line stack up?
In particular, how does the Canucks 4th line anchored by Beagle compare to Beagle's 4th line in Washington?
Very helpful and informative post, appreciated!!Looking at the 4C's on some recent Cup winners in terms of expected goals for...
Kruger 2014-15 (CHI): 50%
Cullen 2015-16 (PIT): 55%
Cullen 2016-17 (PIT): 52%
Beagle 2017-18 (WSH): 39%
Sundqvist 2018-19 (STL): 52%
Beagle 2018-19 (VAN): 42%
Beagle 2019-20 (VAN): 42%
Beagle's numbers improved slightly here but the Caps were right to let him go to free agency. You just don't give money/term to 4th liners.
Motte Michigan stats:
32 goals in 38 games....not too shabby![TBODY] [/TBODY]
2015-16 U. of Michigan Big-10 38 32 24 56 36 28
Looking at the 4C's on some recent Cup winners in terms of expected goals for...
Kruger 2014-15 (CHI): 50%
Cullen 2015-16 (PIT): 55%
Cullen 2016-17 (PIT): 52%
Beagle 2017-18 (WSH): 39%
Sundqvist 2018-19 (STL): 52%
Beagle 2018-19 (VAN): 42%
Beagle 2019-20 (VAN): 42%
Beagle's numbers improved slightly here but the Caps were right to let him go to free agency. You just don't give money/term to 4th liners.
The thing is that guys you can win with eventually get too expensive to keep. But if let them go you might have trouble winning. The Capitals have had Panik or Hagelin play on the 4th line throughout the year so it's not like the Capitals are rolling a cheap 4th line and succeeding.
Washington’s 4th line this year was generally Leipsic-Dowd-Hathaway at a combined $2.9 million, less than we’re paying for Beagle alone.
Who were playing on their 4th line come playoff time and how did they do in the playoffs?
The whole team looked like absolute garbage in this playoffs. The point remains that they were a top-5 team in the NHL during the regular season running a 4th line consisting of 3 castoffs at combined $2.9 million.
4th lines are very unimportant. You find three warm bodies that don't hurt you, and the biggest positive they can bring is that they're cheap. Running a cheap 4th line frees up money to spend on players that actually matter. Replace Beagle and Schaller with two $800k scrubs and Benn with Biega on our roster last year, and you free up $5 million to spend on an actual difference-maker at the top end of your roster. And the replacement depth players would actually have been better than what we had.
Finally, the return of the Biega hype! Been awhile. Wasn't he better than Tyler Myers for awhile?4th lines are very unimportant. You find three warm bodies that don't hurt you, and the biggest positive they can bring is that they're cheap. Running a cheap 4th line frees up money to spend on players that actually matter. Replace Beagle and Schaller with two $800k scrubs and Benn with Biega on our roster last year, and you free up $5 million to spend on an actual difference-maker at the top end of your roster. And the replacement depth players would actually have been better than what we had.
Finally, the return of the Biega hype! Been awhile. Wasn't he better than Tyler Myers for awhile?
You'd think the one lesson that 2011 could drill into Vancouver Canucks' fans' minds would be the importance of a fourth line versus this pure malarkey. In terms of impact on the series, the Bruins' role players of Thornton, Paille and Campbell annihilated Vancouver's of Oreskovich, Tambellini and Hodgson. Yet, here a poster is advocating Vancouver's 2011 fourth line as his dream! I guess you'd have to throw Brendan Gaunce on there though to make the dream complete.
One of the main differences between St. Louis last year and St. Louis this year is their fourth line. Last year in the Finals, they were starting their games with their fourth line! This year, it's being caved in. Ask Craig Berube if fourth lines are "very unimportant." Ask Pete Deboer who said fourth lines have been integral to all his playoffs runs: DeBoer talks the importance of a strong 4th line in the playoffs. Fourth lines help establish the identity of a team, and are actually incredibly important to team success through intangibles known to those have been part of the game.
4the lines are important insofar as you need them not to be a liability and keep their heads above water, anything more is a bonus.
It’s absolutely critical that your 4th line is cheap, the stupidest thing NHL teams keep doing is allocating large portions of their budget to non-elite players who can be replaced if you’re smart.
Also, Boston's 2011 4th line of Campbell-Paille-Thornton made ... $2.9 million combined. They didn't stupidly splurge on bad old players to build that line, which is exactly in line with what I'm saying. As usual, you're not even understanding the argument.
Boston's 4th line in 2011 was considered one of the best 4th lines in hockey and gave their 4th line an edge over ours that AV wasn't comfortable playing. You are confusing the benefit of having a cheap 4th line with actually having a good one in the playoffs.
I still have dreams about us throwing a 4th line of Higgins-Lapierre-Tambellini over the boards somewhere in an alternate universe where we stayed healthy. Having 4 lines that attack in waves and can overwhelm opponents by hemming them in their own end is the kind of thing that wins you Cups.
4the lines are important insofar as you need them not to be a liability and keep their heads above water, anything more is a bonus.
It’s absolutely critical that your 4th line is cheap, the stupidest thing NHL teams keep doing is allocating large portions of their budget to non-elite players who can be replaced if you’re smart.
Sutter should read this.No term, this is what killed the Kings giving term to depth players like Trevor Lewis and Kyle Clifford who they fell in love with after playoff runs. Work ethic is the bare minimum for any job lol, what matters is how consistently you can translate that work ethic and energy into results, not necessarily just points or goals but just applying pressure to the opposition and not getting caved in, what we seem to see with Motte is that for every performance like we saw the other night, he turns into 3 or 4 games where he hustles super hard but accomplishes nothing, the Canucks were outscored at a 2 to 1 margin with Motte this season. No term no big money, move on and find someone else if that's your only option.
You're confusing the argument. Again, nobody is saying 'oh, it's OK to have a terrible 4th line!' Obviously you want to have the best 4th line possible, while keeping it as cheap as possible.
Boston's 4th line in 2011 is an argument for what I'm saying. They had little invested in that line in terms of assets or money - Paille cost a mid-round pick which was the most expensive asset cost, and they made a combined $2.9 million. They were able to easily find competent depth players at a cheap price to ice a good 4th line. They didn't build that line by signing $3 million Jay Beagles to perform terribly. And if they had, they wouldn't have had the money to sign Dennis Seidenberg to come in and be a rock on their blueline playing a far more important role than any 4th liner does.
And, again, comparing them to Vancouver's in 2011 is an extremely false equivalency. Because we were so injured (and Boston basically completely healthy) what we were playing on our 4th line was not representative and it was basically a bunch of AHLers. If our intended 4th line of Hansen-Lapierre-Glass/Tambellini was playing, that is comparable with Boston's and - again - put together for little asset cost and a whopping $2.2 million in salary.
In 2020, obviously if we iced something like Bailey-Graovac-Lind that line would be absolutely killed. But nobody is suggesting that.
4th lines rarely ever make any sort of difference the playoffs unless they are atrocious. Don’t spend money on your 4th kind.