ANALYSIS:
Some interesting analysis in Finnish media:
- During the three SCF games on 5 on 5 Tampa has outshot Dallas 77-40
- However, quality scoring opportunities Tampa has won only 24-22
- Even on a third game quality opportunities (dangerous scoring opportunities) were to Tampa only 7-6
The major difference is how the "best" or "most expensive" forwards are materializing their scoring opportunities
- Benn spent more time on penalty box than on ice on 3rd gme
- Neither Benn or Seguin has a point in final games
- Radulov took also several penalties
- If you look at TBL top players, they have done exactly what they are paid for
The fact is that in order to win Stanley cup, your top players need to play their best games. This is not happening.
I would either bench Seguin or move him to fourth line. I would lift e.g. Roope Hintz to play with Benn and Radulov to see what happens.
Dallas defense has played mainly well, but the third game was awful. But you cannot blame defense. Thanks to them Dallas is in SCF.
But they need to step up for 4th game. Dallas defense has not been about defense but also about secondary scoring. That is needed going forward.
My recipe:
1. Change first line - It simply does not work. Move Seguin away
2. Change PP1 - Seguin does not deserve a spot. He cannot score even empty netter at this point
3. Don't take a single stupid penalty, because TBL PP is hot now
4. Ensure defense shots are used, they need to score or give rebound opportunities for forwards