Rewatching the Golden Knights goals and they sure did get lucky.
3 goals on point shots that deflected in or were just bad goaltending. Then Pietrangelo's goal was a perfect bounce off the back boards after a missed shot.
One other thing that we tend to lose sight of is what being a favorite in the NHL playoffs actually means.
Part II: Rethinking our playoff philosophy (on the role of chance in the postseason) | Statsbylopez
I know Michael Lopez isn't a name necessarily familiar to hockey fans, but he's a giant in the NFL world and is employed by the league in a high profile role.
Here's your TLDR if you prefer that approach to the subject:
Interesting to see MLB and NFL as more 'random' than the NHL.
That conflicts slightly with another comprehensive longitudinal study I read demonstrating that the NHL had the highest rate of randomness in outcomes.
Either way, it's absolutely right - it's highly random.
Also, to win the President's trophy, you've got to play some .700+ hockey over 82 games. Colorado won it with .732 this year (56 games), and in the previous full seasons, TB (.780) and Nashville (.713).
To win the Stanley Cup, you could do it playing .570 (16-12). During the season, .570 barely gets you a ticket to the playoffs.
The NFL doesn't surprise me at all because of the single game format, but MLB does surprise me a lot.
I'll question the idea that the NFL is more random than the NHL. Otherwise I doubt Tom Brady would of won 7 superbowls.
Interesting to see MLB and NFL as more 'random' than the NHL.
That conflicts slightly with another comprehensive longitudinal study I read demonstrating that the NHL had the highest rate of randomness in outcomes.
MLB leading the way here is super surprising, but hey- a hot pitcher or a hot lineup can get you places for sure.One other thing that we tend to lose sight of is what being a favorite in the NHL playoffs actually means.
Part II: Rethinking our playoff philosophy (on the role of chance in the postseason) | Statsbylopez
I know Michael Lopez isn't a name necessarily familiar to hockey fans, but he's a giant in the NFL world and is employed by the league in a high profile role.
Here's your TLDR if you prefer that approach to the subject:
Avs just need to run it back next year. They can easily win the Cup. Hasnt been mentioned much but Kadri being an idiot may have cost them their season. It was a blow to their C depth. Get him back and maybe add a dman and they're back in it.
MLB leading the way here is super surprising, but hey- a hot pitcher or a hot lineup can get you places for sure.
The NFL doesn't surprise me at all because of the single game format, but MLB does surprise me a lot.
Jones would make a lot of sense for them. They need some size on the backend and Johnson always seems to be injured at this point. Would come full circle for Colorado and Jones too after everyone expected them to draft him in 2013.They are the lead dog for Jones, and with the Bolts needing to shed mucho salary for thje CAP, there are center options there. COuld be depending on who the Preds protect in the expansion draft, there mighe be an option there. Given his bizarre behavior nhistory, I'd move on from Kadri.
They are the lead dog for Jones, and with the Bolts needing to shed mucho salary for thje CAP, there are center options there. COuld be depending on who the Preds protect in the expansion draft, there mighe be an option there. Given his bizarre behavior nhistory, I'd move on from Kadri.
Umpire performance matters more than you might think. You can have games with ~85% ball/strike accuracy at the low end.
Here's Joe West this year for example.
Jones would make a lot of sense for them. They need some size on the backend and Johnson always seems to be injured at this point. Would come full circle for Colorado and Jones too after everyone expected them to draft him in 2013.
I really hope we don't end up with empty hands and all the available players get traded/sign somewhere else this summer...
Does it factor in best of 5 and the play in? I didnt read the full writeup yetMLB leading the way here is super surprising, but hey- a hot pitcher or a hot lineup can get you places for sure.
I would have actually guessed the exact opposite order for that clump. NBA out in front not surprising
My understanding is they're just pooling the results of every playoff series in each sport and seeing if the better record won. Pretty straightforward.Does it factor in best of 5 and the play in? I didnt read the full writeup yet
NFL being more random is not especially surprising as it's one bad game and you're done. Vegas lost twice in a row to start the Avs series and still won. An NFL team doesn't get that chance.Interesting to see MLB and NFL as more 'random' than the NHL.
That conflicts slightly with another comprehensive longitudinal study I read demonstrating that the NHL had the highest rate of randomness in outcomes.
Either way, it's absolutely right - it's highly random.
Also, to win the President's trophy, you've got to play some .700+ hockey over 82 games. Colorado won it with .732 this year (56 games), and in the previous full seasons, TB (.780) and Nashville (.713).
To win the Stanley Cup, you could do it playing .570 (16-12). During the season, .570 barely gets you a ticket to the playoffs.