But it wasn’t just 2 points. You gave him those 2 points, and then said he was a 90-95 point guy. That implies that not only is he getting those points, and more, but consistently.
As for 50 goals, it isn’t out of the question, but yet again a hot start has inflated his overall pace, and his pace since then doesn’t match that. He’s on pace for 47 goals right now, and it looks more likely that the number will be lower than that. Not higher. More than 20% of his goals came in his first three games. That means that, since then, his goal scoring has been around 34-35 goals over a full season. That looks quite a bit less impressive, doesn’t it?
Personally, I expect some hot stretches to push those numbers to around 40 goals, because he is a very good goal scorer, but based on how he has been scoring since his first three games he is going to fall well short of 50. This is me giving more weight to 30 games than 3.
None of that is really the point, however. The point is that you were trying to give him undeserved credit. I outright said I had no issue with the 40 goal monicker. That’s a fair one. But trying to label him a 90-95 point guy? You were trying to elevate him to a level he doesn’t belong. As for his age, yes, he’s only 22, but he’s been in a growth age since he entered the league. Why should people give him the benefit of the doubt and project him as a future 50/100 guy when it feels like he’s looked like the same player for the previous two seasons, and it looks like we’re going into a third where it’s true again.
I think the bottom line here is that it’s time for him to **** or get off the pot as a potential superstar. He has shown flashes of being an absolute elite player, but the majority of the time he is just a high end goal scorer and a star offensive talent. Not a superstar offensive talent. So why should people be willing to accept his inclusion into those types of rankings? He needs to earn it. Not by his potential, or selective use of stats, but because he plays like it every night and finishes the season with the raw numbers to support it.