Smitty93
Registered User
- Dec 6, 2012
- 8,218
- 9,382
Some people have said the comps on Jake point to a $6m/yr pay day. Everyone loves Jake when he's scoring but I think it's important to remember stretches like this as well. Look at the good and the bad, and determine if he's really a $6m player. Right now, he's on pace for 23 goals and 43 points. He could go on a hot run and put up 10 points in 10 games or he might stay cold. It's frustrating because he looks like a 30+ goal scorer when he's riding high, but he's not consistent, and he's not involved in other ways, when he's not scoring.
Honestly, I'm not crazy about paying him $6m because he looks good in half of the games. Just because other teams gave out $6m contracts to their RFA's doesn't mean we have to. Plenty of teams trade RFA's because they don't believe they're worth the comps.
Personally, I'd try to get him to sign a bridge deal in the $4m range to see if he can find that consistency and maturity in his game before paying him big money and term. If that's a no go then I would consider trading him.
I was looking at contract comps recently, and two of the ones I landed on were Timo Meier and Travis Konecny. I looked at CapFriendly's income tax estimator and I have no idea how realistic it is, but I was hoping to get an idea for what their net income was. It ends up that around $5.2 million would provide DeBrusk a similar amount of net income playing for the Bruins instead of in San Jose or Philly.
I think $6 million is way too high, unless we're looking at an 8 year deal, which I don't think makes sense for either side. If he wants five or 6 years, then I'd do the $5.2 million I mentioned, but if it's 2 or 3 years, even $4 million might be a high estimate. It's what I've been using in my salary cap estimates for next year, but you start to look at other young forwards, and the only ones getting $4 million or more on those short-term deals (2 or 3 yrs) are clear 1st line forwards. Players who have had close to point per game seasons.
Sam Reinhart had similar point production when he signed his deal 1.5 years ago, and he got $3.65 million for 2 years. That was 4.6% of the cap, so that might be closer to $3.8 million on next year's cap.