Do you think Oklahoma can make the CFP with a loss?
I think Georgia is likely in unless they lose 2 games. They just look like the best team right now.
Bama gets in if it wins the SEC championship and only has 1 loss (so they need to beat GA).
Likely one of the Big Ten East teams gets in - Michigan, PSU, MSU or Ohio State assuming they win Big10 Champ and only has 1 loss or less.
Cincy I would assume has to get in if undefeated.
Oregon if it only has 1 loss and wins Pac10.
Oklahoma gets in if undefeated, but if it loses it would fall behind unless Bama loses 2 games, Cincy loses and eiter Big Ten Champ has 2 losses or Oregon loses.
My power rankings:
1. SEC - Georgia (can afford to lose 1 game)
2. Oklahoma (drops if it loses and tough schedule)
3. Cincy (like OK drops if it loses)
4. Big Ten East Champ - assuming they win Big10 with 0 or 1 loss (OSU, UM, MSU, PSU)
5. Bama - Needs to win the SEC, but if it does it will get in.
6. Oregon - If they finish with 1 loss and wins Pac-10 and if OSU wins Big-10 it will be very tough to put OSU in above them.