As for his
window of opertunity in terms of potential roles in the NHL (why I label him a boom/bust type of prospect), I am very confident that I am right, and I am very confident that I can't convince you guys to change your mind (
), I've been in many discussions like this before. So we just have to agree to disagree.
But this is how I see it. And like I wrote above. He ain't Niko Zherdev II. He aint one dimensional in the sense that he only can do certain things but looks completely lost in other areas. He can hit. He can play defense. If he establish himself in the NHL, becomes a star, I am even sure he could develop those area's into a level where they stand out in a positive way.
BUT, things, for guys like him, and not to say never, but seldom plays out the way you describes. This is (probably) why.
MZ will play another year in the SEL. He'll be like 20 when he moves to NA. Inorder to get into the NHL, he'll compete with a bunch of very solid 3rd and 4th line checkers from the age of 22-23 to 29-30. "Waiver fodder". AHLers. Other draft picks.
With his potential, he'll get into the NHL for sure. People will wanna give him a look. And at the age of 20 he will not be a good defensive checker at the NHL. He will get in because his offensive upside. And if he doesn't get it done offensively, if he doesn't put it together offensively, after 1-2 years, a coach will start to compare him with those fully developed specialist checkers.
MZ isn't a shy player. That can make him a star. He trys very hard moves, and nowadays pull them off at the SEL level. He will also always try those moves. Its just his nature. The problem starts for him if he ends up at a level were the marginals are so small and competition so good that he can't pull them off anymore. Instead of getting a kid who is in a positive environment, you'll get a kid who will fail the expectations and ends up in a negative environment because people will want more from him.
In the end, I do feel the above point is mute -- because I would bet that he will be able to establish himself in the NHL and become a very good player. The team who gets him will get a kid who really have a ton of hockey in him. Who even can become a mega-star. But he have a long way to go, and I if things along that road don't always head in the right direction -- player-types like him very often have a hard time settling in like strong defensive 3rd lineers, even if the raw talent is there.