Speculation: 2021 Offseason Roster Discussion

[duxfan1101]

New numbers on our website:

Terry: 19 (this is his favorite jersey number I guess. He had 61 because that's essentially an upside down ''19'')
Lundestrom: 21
Comtois: 44

Zegras and Drysdale remain with their first ones. It seems to me that our management is letting players chose their numbers only after one full season. It used to be a bit faster IIRC, we would had given Z and Drysdale their numbers already. Zegras recently indicated he would like to have #13 (because of Datsyuk) – only a matter of time.

Happy for Terry. Thought he should have gotten to choose his number last year, but this should make him truly feel like he's earned his spot.

 

[The Midnight Burrito]

Happy for Terry. Thought he should have gotten to choose his number last year, but this should make him truly feel like he's earned his spot.

Terry really turned the corner last year. Hoping he can turn his better mastery of the puck into some production this year.

 

[Goose of Reason]

I'm glad Comtois finally has 44. 53 is such an ugly number.

 

[Hockey Duckie]

Apologies for the lack of education, but what's the deal with Drysdale, the OHL and AHL? Is it still OHL or NHL for Drysdale, or can he be sent to the Gulls? I seem to recall that it's still OHL and NHL only, in which case I would prefer to have Drysdale sheltered in the NHL.

Best case scenario, he should be going and dominating the A rather than being up here.

Thing is he dominated the A last year, which is why he got promoted to the NHL club. The jump to the NHL was great to begin with, but then he wore down. I'd like him not on the top pairing. Let Lindholm-Manson do the heavy lifting. The problem with Drysdale is he's too good for the OHL, proved he's a top defenseman in the AHL, but still physically behind for the NHL. The second problem is we don't have enough RHD talent to keep him down in the AHL, which is what happened last year.

Let's hope that there is a provision between the OHL and NHL that includes NHL games played into the AHL games played waiver for OHL prospects.

 

[Hockey Duckie]

New numbers on our website:

Terry: 19 (this is his favorite jersey number I guess. He had 61 because that's essentially an upside down ''19'')
Lundestrom: 21
Comtois: 44

Zegras and Drysdale remain with their first ones. It seems to me that our management is letting players chose their numbers only after one full season. It used to be a bit faster IIRC, we would had given Z and Drysdale their numbers already. Zegras recently indicated he would like to have #13 (because of Datsyuk) – only a matter of time.

Technically Z and Jim are still rookies as they qualify for the Calder this coming season. I kinda like the notion that they still haven't been established enough yet to earn their numbers. Like you said, it's just a matter of time for these two.

 

[terranraida]

. Zegras recently indicated he would like to have #13 (because of Datsyuk) – only a matter of time.

There is a better player than Datsyuk who wore 13 to aspire to..

 

[bsu]

19 is an elite number... put some numbers up

 

[Hockey Duckie]

Happy for Terry. Thought he should have gotten to choose his number last year, but this should make him truly feel like he's earned his spot.

I was hoping when Steel got his number changed last year to 23 that it would improve his game.

 

[anezthes]

I'm glad Comtois finally has 44. 53 is such an ugly number.

Visually, I prefer 53 to 44. The latter has a tendency to look off balance, too wide, or even a bit busy (depending on the font). IMO/YMMV.

 

[nilssont]

Visually, I prefer 53 to 44. The latter has a tendency to look off balance, too wide, or even a bit busy (depending on the font). IMO/YMMV.

44 clearly is a dmans number

 

[DuckTech]

44 clearly is a dmans number

 

[nilssont]

I know its more common among forwards but to me 44 is something a dman should wear.

 

[Paul4587]

44 always reminds me of Pronger from his St Louis days. 19 in terms of the Ducks will always remind me of Andy McDonald. If Terry can become half that good we should be happy, he was awesome at his peak here.

 

[Leonardo87]

Terry really turned the corner last year. Hoping he can turn his better mastery of the puck into some production this year.

I wanted to see Terry hit around or higher than a .50 PPG, I think he was just over a .40? With this team really not bad, and playing under Eakins and a historically bad PP not easy to produce. I know these players would be producing a lot more if the system and coaching was better or on another team surrounded by more skill. So really can’t put all the fault on a lot these players for their lower numbers.

 

[duxfan1101]

 

[Arthuros]

Apparently Sweden just invited players to Stockholm to a preparatory meeting for the Olympics. Not sure if the invitees will reflect the final team members.

Silf and Lindholm attending, Rakell not attending.

 

[Hockey Duckie]

I wanted to see Terry hit around or higher than a .50 PPG, I think he was just over a .40? With this team really not bad, and playing under Eakins and a historically bad PP not easy to produce. I know these players would be producing a lot more if the system and coaching was better or on another team surrounded by more skill. So really can’t put all the fault on a lot these players for their lower numbers.

tl;dr version: We had a bad SoS, were without our top defensemen, and our offense couldn't keep up with the playoff teams in our division for 32 games! We faced them 8 times each in a season. This season, we see Vegas only 4 times. It was a cluster-Duck last season for us.

Epic version: I was looking at our Strength of Schedule (SoS) for last season and it indicated we had one of the roughest schedules. All the CA teams had it rough in the West "Honda" division (we're the Honda division, right?) I couldn't find much for the 2019-20 SoS except for the remaining games of that season, where it had our SoS in the middle of the pack.

2019-20

Ducks
Year	Type of Games	Games	W	L	OTL	1G pts		Win Pct
2019-20	Total	71	29	33	9	67		40.8%
	1-goal games	33	15	9	9	39		45.5%
	Non 1-g games	38	14	24	0	28		36.8%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Percentage of 1-goal games: 46.5%​

2020-21

Ducks
Year	Type of Games	Games	W	L	OTL	1G pts		Win Pct
2020-21	Total	56	17	30	9	43		30.4%
	1-goal games	29	10	10	9	29		34.5%
	Non 1-g games	27	7	20	0	14		25.9%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Percentage of 1-goal games: 51.8%​

Although we were involved in more one-goal games in 2020-21, we just sucked, especially in games that weren't close.

Division Breakdown

Against non-playoff teams

Ducks	2020-21
Opponents	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	.	GF	GA	GD
Arizona	8	2	4	2	6		17	25	-8
LA	8	4	4	0	8		22	25	-3
SJ	8	4	3	1	9		22	20	2
Total	24	10	11	3	23		61	70	-9
					Pts/GP		GF/GP	GA/GP
				Average	0.96		2.54	2.92	-0.38

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

This shows we're about a .500 team against similarly talented teams. Our win record against the non-playoff teams are 0.416 and point production is 0.958.
​

Against playoff teams

Ducks	2020-21
Opponents	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	.	GF	GA	GD
Vegas	8	1	5	2	4		13	29	-16
Colorado	8	2	4	2	6		19	30	-11
Minny	8	1	5	2	4		14	24	-10
St. Louis	8	3	5	0	6		19	26	-7
Total	32	7	19	6	20		65	109	-44
					Pts/GP		GF/GP	GA/GP	GD/GP
				Average	0.63		2.03	3.41	-1.38

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

This is where our offense and defense cannot keep up with these more talented teams. Our win record against the playoff teams are 0.218 and point production is 0.625. The silver lining is we faced each team 8 times last year. This year, we face Vegas 4 times and Edmonton 3 times. That reduces our chances of getting beat down as often!

• Manson played in 23 out of 56 games, or 41.1% of the time.
• Lindholm played in 18 out of 56 games, or 32.1% of the time.

A significant reason our defense drops is because we were missing both Manson and Lindholm for the majority of the season, who are our best defensemen.

Lindholm

2020-21
First 33 games
Item	Games	W	L	OTL	Pts	.	GF	GA	GD		GF/GP	GF/GP	GF/GP
Total	33	9	18	6	24	.	72	112	-40		2.18	3.39	-1.21
W/o Lindholm	15	3	9	3	9	.	37	64	-27		2.47	4.27	-1.80
w/ Lindholm	18	6	9	3	15	.	35	48	-13		1.94	2.67	-0.72

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

These are all 18 games that Lindholm participated in for the season. The goal differential without Lindholm is staggering, especially when you consider there are three more games played with Lindholm on the ice.

Manson

2020-21
First 33 games
Exclude Manson	return	.	.	.	.	.	.	.	.
Item	Games	W	L	OTL	Pts	.	GF	GA	GD
W/O Lindholm	15	3	9	3	9	.	37	64	-27
W/o L, M in	4	2	1	1	5	.	14	14	0
No L + M	11	1	8	2	4	.	23	50	-27

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

We are down right abysmal without Lindholm and Manson in the lineup.​

== Our offense ==

​

2019-20 Top-10 Duck scorers

2019-20
Player	Games	G	A	Pts	PPG
Henrique	71	26	17	43	0.61
Rakell	65	15	27	42	0.65
Getzlaf	69	13	29	42	0.61
Silf	66	21	18	39	0.59
Fowler	59	9	20	29	0.49
Kase	49	7	16	23	0.47
Steel	65	6	16	22	0.34
Lindholm	55	2	20	22	0.40
Grant	49	14	6	20	0.41
Ritchie	41	8	11	19	0.46
				Average	0.50

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

We lost Kase and Ritchie at the trade deadline. It's a blow to our offense, but then again Kase being made out of glass is also a blow to our offense.
​

2020-21 Top-10 Ducks scorers

2020-21
Player	Games	G	A	Pts	PPG	PPG Diff 2019 for top-10
Comtois	55	16	17	33	0.60	NA
Rakell	52	9	19	28	0.54	-0.11
Fowler	56	5	18	23	0.41	-0.08
Henrique	45	12	9	21	0.47	-0.14
Terry	48	7	13	20	0.42	NA
Getzlaf	48	5	12	17	0.35	-0.25
Silf	47	8	8	16	0.34	-0.25
Grant	46	6	9	15	0.33	-0.08
Shattenkirk	55	2	13	15	0.27	NA
Heinen	43	7	7	14	0.33	NA
				Average	0.41	-0.10

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

All the "NA" means they are new to the top-10. Across the board for the top-10 players on both sides, we see their production drop.​

We're gonna rely on the growth of Comtois, Zegras, and Drysdale while hoping Silf and Rico go back to their scoring ways. I think going back to a normal schedule will help the whole team. As is, we're a bottom dwelling team due to our SoS in the strong West. With a normal distribution of games and being in a weak Pacific, the Ducks can look like a fringe playoff team, but unless some talent carries the offense for us this year without any more moves, the future doesn't look great. We might benefit from a weak schedule, but we're still a weak team.

 

[ohcomeonref]

tl;dr version: We had a bad SoS, were without our top defensemen, and our offense couldn't keep up with the playoff teams in our division for 32 games! We faced them 8 times each in a season. This season, we see Vegas only 4 times. It was a cluster-Duck last season for us.

Epic version: I was looking at our Strength of Schedule (SoS) for last season and it indicated we had one of the roughest schedules. All the CA teams had it rough in the West "Honda" division (we're the Honda division, right?) I couldn't find much for the 2019-20 SoS except for the remaining games of that season, where it had our SoS in the middle of the pack.

2019-20

Ducks
Year	Type of Games	Games	W	L	OTL	1G pts		Win Pct
2019-20	Total	71	29	33	9	67		40.8%
	1-goal games	33	15	9	9	39		45.5%
	Non 1-g games	38	14	24	0	28		36.8%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Percentage of 1-goal games: 46.5%​

2020-21

Ducks
Year	Type of Games	Games	W	L	OTL	1G pts		Win Pct
2020-21	Total	56	17	30	9	43		30.4%
	1-goal games	29	10	10	9	29		34.5%
	Non 1-g games	27	7	20	0	14		25.9%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Percentage of 1-goal games: 51.8%​

Although we were involved in more one-goal games in 2020-21, we just sucked, especially in games that weren't close.

Division Breakdown

Against non-playoff teams

Ducks	2020-21
Opponents	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	.	GF	GA	GD
Arizona	8	2	4	2	6		17	25	-8
LA	8	4	4	0	8		22	25	-3
SJ	8	4	3	1	9		22	20	2
Total	24	10	11	3	23		61	70	-9
					Pts/GP		GF/GP	GA/GP
				Average	0.96		2.54	2.92	-0.38

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

This shows we're about a .500 team against similarly talented teams. Our win record against the non-playoff teams are 0.416 and point production is 0.958.
​

Against playoff teams

Ducks	2020-21
Opponents	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	.	GF	GA	GD
Vegas	8	1	5	2	4		13	29	-16
Colorado	8	2	4	2	6		19	30	-11
Minny	8	1	5	2	4		14	24	-10
St. Louis	8	3	5	0	6		19	26	-7
Total	32	7	19	6	20		65	109	-44
					Pts/GP		GF/GP	GA/GP	GD/GP
				Average	0.63		2.03	3.41	-1.38

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

This is where our offense and defense cannot keep up with these more talented teams. Our win record against the playoff teams are 0.218 and point production is 0.625. The silver lining is we faced each team 8 times last year. This year, we face Vegas 4 times and Edmonton 3 times. That reduces our chances of getting beat down as often!

• Manson played in 23 out of 56 games, or 41.1% of the time.
• Lindholm played in 18 out of 56 games, or 32.1% of the time.

A significant reason our defense drops is because we were missing both Manson and Lindholm for the majority of the season, who are our best defensemen.

Lindholm

2020-21
First 33 games
Item	Games	W	L	OTL	Pts	.	GF	GA	GD		GF/GP	GF/GP	GF/GP
Total	33	9	18	6	24	.	72	112	-40		2.18	3.39	-1.21
W/o Lindholm	15	3	9	3	9	.	37	64	-27		2.47	4.27	-1.80
w/ Lindholm	18	6	9	3	15	.	35	48	-13		1.94	2.67	-0.72

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

These are all 18 games that Lindholm participated in for the season. The goal differential without Lindholm is staggering, especially when you consider there are three more games played with Lindholm on the ice.

Manson

2020-21
First 33 games
Exclude Manson	return	.	.	.	.	.	.	.	.
Item	Games	W	L	OTL	Pts	.	GF	GA	GD
W/O Lindholm	15	3	9	3	9	.	37	64	-27
W/o L, M in	4	2	1	1	5	.	14	14	0
No L + M	11	1	8	2	4	.	23	50	-27

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

We are down right abysmal without Lindholm and Manson in the lineup.​

== Our offense ==

​

2019-20 Top-10 Duck scorers

2019-20
Player	Games	G	A	Pts	PPG
Henrique	71	26	17	43	0.61
Rakell	65	15	27	42	0.65
Getzlaf	69	13	29	42	0.61
Silf	66	21	18	39	0.59
Fowler	59	9	20	29	0.49
Kase	49	7	16	23	0.47
Steel	65	6	16	22	0.34
Lindholm	55	2	20	22	0.40
Grant	49	14	6	20	0.41
Ritchie	41	8	11	19	0.46
				Average	0.50

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

We lost Kase and Ritchie at the trade deadline. It's a blow to our offense, but then again Kase being made out of glass is also a blow to our offense.
​

2020-21 Top-10 Ducks scorers

2020-21
Player	Games	G	A	Pts	PPG	PPG Diff 2019 for top-10
Comtois	55	16	17	33	0.60	NA
Rakell	52	9	19	28	0.54	-0.11
Fowler	56	5	18	23	0.41	-0.08
Henrique	45	12	9	21	0.47	-0.14
Terry	48	7	13	20	0.42	NA
Getzlaf	48	5	12	17	0.35	-0.25
Silf	47	8	8	16	0.34	-0.25
Grant	46	6	9	15	0.33	-0.08
Shattenkirk	55	2	13	15	0.27	NA
Heinen	43	7	7	14	0.33	NA
				Average	0.41	-0.10

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

All the "NA" means they are new to the top-10. Across the board for the top-10 players on both sides, we see their production drop.​

We're gonna rely on the growth of Comtois, Zegras, and Drysdale while hoping Silf and Rico go back to their scoring ways. I think going back to a normal schedule will help the whole team. As it, we're a bottom dwelling team due to our SoS in the strong West. With a normal distribution of games and being in a weak Pacific, the Ducks can look like a fringe playoff team, but unless some talent carries the offense for us this year without any more moves, the future doesn't look great. We might benefit from a weak schedule, but we're still a weak team.

I have to say: even though I don't always get to read your posts in-full due to time constraints, I can't help but respect the time and effort you put in.

TLDR: Nice work.

 

[Smirnov2Chistov]

I have to say: even though I don't always get to read your posts in-full due to time constraints, I can't help but respect the time and effort you put in.

TLDR: Nice work.

Nice Comment!

TLDR: nice!

 

[terranraida]

Nice Comment!

TLDR: nice!

nice

tldr: n

 

[Arthuros]

nice

tldr: n

 

[Son of Gib]

Just got an email from the Ducks advertising preseason tickets for "Your First Chance to See New-Look Ducks!"

I lol'd

 

[AngelDuck]

Just got an email from the Ducks advertising preseason tickets for "Your First Chance to See New-Look Ducks!"

I lol'd

Comedy show

 

[Anaheim4ever]

Just got an email from the Ducks advertising preseason tickets for "Your First Chance to See New-Look Ducks!"

I lol'd

If McTavish makes the roster they should do a promo with McDonalds where every McTavish point is a free vanilla cone and every goal of his is a Free large fries.

 

[Kalv]

If McTavish makes the roster they should do a promo with McDonalds where every McTavish point is a free vanilla cone and every goal of his is a Free large fries.

McKinnon would be furious