Johnny HFBOARDS
Trade you!
This was a great Penticton Firing Squad Tournament
Well there's always next year, and Lodge should be even better by then!
Well there's always next year, and Lodge should be even better by then!
Glad that's over.
The #1 pool of forward prospects in the NHL managed 4 goals in 4 games.
Averages and tendencies can be rather uninformative. Understanding the exceptions and why they happen are something that advanced stats should help elucidate. Saying that very good players tend to succeed at an early age doesn't seem to take us very far. Figuring out which are more likely to be late bloomers strikes me as an interesting question.
it takes us about as far as an average NHL scouting department.
Outlier research is important but I don't trust anyone's ability with project players due to how bad everyone does with them.
it takes us about as far as an average NHL scouting department.
Outlier research is important but I don't trust anyone's ability with project players due to how bad everyone does with them.
Exactly. Let's wait untill NHL teams are besting simple equations in regards to the non outliers before we break ourselves finding the needles in the haystacks.
It's kinda funny actually.. It's not like the Canucks ever had great defense prospects but I don't remember the Moose D group ever being awful, and the old Moose were always playoff teams..
I wonder why they seem to be so woeful at accumulating quality defense this time around.
it takes us about as far as an average NHL scouting department.
Outlier research is important but I don't trust anyone's ability with project players due to how bad everyone does with them.
It's kinda funny actually.. It's not like the Canucks ever had great defense prospects but I don't remember the Moose D group ever being awful, and the old Moose were always playoff teams..
I wonder why they seem to be so woeful at accumulating quality defense this time around.
Age and experience is important on D. I think that with the Moose being almost entirely a development team, we are destined to see younger draft picks playing, even if they are crappy. I think it's a stupid idea, because playing with really bad players is probably not a good development environment. Chevy and Zinger are going to need to weed out the dead wood and bring in some effective players to support the real prospects.
They can't even identify effective support players.
There's your challenge. Everybody is going to figure out the averages pretty quickly. That's going to be passé pretty soon. The next tier is going to be analytics that figure out how to be ahead of the curve, si to speak.
It's kinda funny actually.. It's not like the Canucks ever had great defense prospects but I don't remember the Moose D group ever being awful, and the old Moose were always playoff teams..
I wonder why they seem to be so woeful at accumulating quality defense this time around.
Outliers aren't needles in haystacks, though. They are probably the result of some systematic variables that most analysts ignore to hammer at the averages.
I actually think that teams are going to transition to basic analytics faster than many might think. If we are still talking about the same stats that seem advanced now in five years, I'll be a bit surprised and disappointed.
Sometimes they can be.