CrookedCrook
Registered User
I spent an unhealthy amount of time watching Girgs individual movements, positioning, decisions on the ice, etc., in his rookie and sophomore seasons.
A lot of people on these boards got carried away by his offensive production last year, when his shooting efficiency was significantly above average combined with a lot of ice time and skilled linemates, and a lot of people seemed to form their expectations based exclusively on that (as well as projecting his future point production based on the 14/15 season, while adding a bunch of point on top of it due to 'future growth'). I don't think that made a lot of sense.
Girgs usage was obviously going to change with a bunch of talented players joining the Sabres. Whenever he's played on the 3rd line (under both Rolston or Nolan, or Bylsma now), he hasn't been stellar offensively at all. Now it's been exacerbated by his extremely low shooting % (3% before the game vs. DET), but that is bound to normalize in the long term.
Zemgus is a good two-way defensive forward. He can play as a shutdown center, he can chip in on the 2nd line if there's a need for that. He can play on the PK/PP. But he's never going to be an elite forward or a playmaking center, who's going to rack up 60, 70 or 80 points per season. He's probably going to be a 30 or 40 point guy.
I also don't see Girgs progressing a lot. Honestly, it doesn't look like he's improved too much over the last couple of years. He has the same little shortcomings and faults he had in his rookie season (weak on his skates, falls down a lot; he tries to throw a lot of hits, but too often he ends up barely bumping into guys without speed and ends up losing position himself, meaning he's going to be late on the backcheck when that happens; sometimes he gets lost in the defensive zone, particularly when they're hemmed in their own end for a while; he also doesn't excel at making the first pass and getting out of the defensive zone - often you'll see him with his head down and looking at the puck instead of looking for options and passing lanes, etc.).
Bolded is spot on. I also isolate him when I do stay late to watch the Buffalo games, sometimes it is so frustrating to watch his bad balance. Plus he doesn't have a good shot and from the interviews he doesn't seem like the brightest guy.
There are many positives thought. He is great at his current role as in he doesn't allow goals to be scored against him. Neither team scores goals when he is on ice.
Hoping for a jump in production, maybe now he will see a bit more PP time in 2nd unit.
I agree that his point production should be in 30-40 point range with maybe a career year close to 50 points when everyone will click together.
Either way, there are still plenty of passengers on this team but Girgs is not one.