Nope. Every year, especially based on his line mates also, he gets older. The body really starts to show a hockey players age at 35. Just 2 30 goal seasons back to back, you have to factor in that is 2 more years added to his age.
He's been looking chunkier as the years go by. And, now he is coming to camp out of shape. Then he gets to game shape after a few months and starts lighting it up.
And to be fair, Gretzky did it in 1487 games. Ovechkin would need to score 237 in 403 games and each year that ticks by ages OVI.
But Gretzky really slowed down in his last 4 seasons only scoring 65 total.
Gretzky also scored in 92 and also scored 87 once and twice scored in the 70's. If you want to be considered better than Gretzky, then you have to score 93 in a season. No one will ever do that again.
Also, goaltending plays a huge part and there were many teams in the East upgrade their goaltending and many teams upgraded their defence. For his prime years he had terrible teams in Toronto, New Jersey, Buffalo, Carolina and a few others to pick apart.
I don't think he will even beat Howe. I think Ovi will finish with about 780 goals. Still pretty good, but closer to Hull than Gretzky.
If anyone could have beat Gretzky it would have been Hull. Hull scored 741 in only 1269 games. Had he played another 220 games, he likely would have scored another 140 goals leaving him with 881. Had that happened you can bet Hull would have played long enough to beat the record.
But that's only regular season goals. Gretzky also scored 122 to Ovi's 65.
Nope, sorry Ovi lovers, but I think he will be the 3rd or 4th best goal scorer of all time. And even though Howe had more goals than Hull, Hull shooting percentage was off the charts. Ovi Certainly not the best and not better than Hull, but possibly better than Howe.
Only time will tell.