OVITOMMY
Registered User
- Mar 19, 2019
- 66
- 103
That's just the lazy argument people throw at OV nowadays since he has perfected the One-T on the PP. They can't stop it, so he continues to do it. Unfortunately, it is such a big deal because that is the best weapon on the WSH PP, the primary one, so it is analyzed and critiqued to no end. Since people can't stop it, they use it against OV with no context whatsoeverI mean, he scored 33/51 at even strength last year, so most on the PP isn't accurate
They can't stop it, so he continues to do it.
Since people can't stop it, they use it against OV with no context whatsoever
Great analysis. If it's not too much trouble to run the numbers, what's the probability of Ovechkin reaching 895 if he plays six, seven or eight more years?
I think he falls just short. He's 34 this year and needs 237 goals to get 895. I think he plays until he's 38 and will get 170-200 goals moe.
Here is a list of best goal totals after being 34:
299 - Gordie Howe
275 - John Bucyk
232 - Teemu Selanne (while missing 1.5 seasons due to lockouts)
216 - Mark Messier
196 - Jean Ratelle
187 - Brett Hull (achieved in dead puck era)
182 - Daniel Alfredsson
175 - Jaromir Jagr (while missing 3 seasons in KHL)
I'd say his chances are better than a lot of folks seem to think. He's a guy who can play past 40 and if that's the case and he's close he'll play until he gets it.
He'll need to average 47 goals if he retires in four years, 40 in five and 34 in six. In six seasons he'll be forty, he's definitely has a realistic shot at making it.
You're a year off. It's 47.4 if he retires after 5 more seasons.
Unless he's injured, he's not going to retire at age 38 with 850 goals.
Am I the only one who did not realize what kind of incredible durability that Ovechkin has demonstrated throughout his career? He has missed 30 games in his entire career. 7 of them were due to suspension.
Great analysis. If it's not too much trouble to run the numbers, what's the probability of Ovechkin reaching 895 if he plays six, seven or eight more years?