Maybe I am not explaining it properly....or clearly.
Hagg should be a non starter in convo's because his play is so beyond being acceptable. So not sure why he keeps getting mentioned.
Whereas Hayes is actually what he should be....not a 1st liner, and produces like a 2nd liner. Like looking at CF% since Hayes started with us, he is within 5% of everyone but Couts....and as I said, doesn't get the Couts bump. So is that 5% difference really a big issue IF he scores 29 goals a year and 50+ points and is not being caved in? I don't think it is.
Anyways, I did not mean to stir up a hornets nest. I just find it odd how Hayes is always ripped(not by you) considering he has pretty much been as expected on the ice.
Hagg is just a reminder that results mean nothing in the big picture if they are not sustainable. And if we're talking about Hayes on a 7 year deal, I'm not that interested in counting stats. I am a hell of a lot more interested in determining what parts of his game are sustainable and not sustainable.
If we're just talking about raw Corsi, when most guys hover around 50% and the range is 40-60% league-wide, being within 5% on a team is not noteworthy. His metrics have been all over the place during his career - He has one great year, one terrible year, one good, one poor. Those numbers paint him as a volatile, high event, middle six forward. We can debate if that is worth $50 million, but that seems to check out with my eyes at least. There is a lot of noise involved in NHL point totals (and considering Hayes' style of play). I think we have much better ways of evaluating performance.
One important thing to point out with his usage this year, which could have a big impact on his future outlook, is that he's averaging almost 3 minutes a game on the PP this year after spending chunks of last season completely off the unit (something I argued against last year). I'm not sure he warrants that much usage, but if he's giving you positive value on the PP in addition to the PK, that's a much more valuable player if he continues to be an up and down ES guy.