Ovie's years winning the Hart he finished 1, 2, and 3 in scoring and won the Richard each year. You simply don't win the Hart unless you're top 5 in scoring (or dominating a non-forward position). Matthews would need to win the Richard AND close the gap between him and the top 3. I don't see it happening. For me, Draisaitl is eliminated by the McDavid factor. There's still an intense "you're only doing it because of McDavid" bias, and you can't give it to McDavid when he's being outscored by a teammate. Pastrnak has a chance, but Marchand and Bergeron are both having strong years. The two guys impressing me the most are Panarin and MacKinnon. Their spots in the scoring race and the strength of their stats relative to their teammates is just too hard to ignore.