OT: Severe Weather Discussion II

[Bones45]

Local mets have the storm tracking south of the tri-state area, but def something to keep in your head.

 

[TeamKidd]

yeah seems pretty well far south of us. possibly some fringe effects but still need a day or two to work out the kinks as the system comes onshore to california.

 

[beLIever]

Thanks, all. Will keep an eye on it.

 

[Bones45]

Been a very warm and wet (good combo) winter so far here in the tri-state.

Cold is coming in and have seen some info about the white stuff on Sunday. Nothing major at this point, but one of those "storm up the coast and cold air in place, cold see accumulating snow on Sunday" type of things.

Stay tuned.

 

[Riseonfire]

WOULD f***ING LOVE A SNOWDAY, NO SCHOOL!!!!!!



(I am the teacher...)

 

[Tres Peleches]

Been a very warm and wet (good combo) winter so far here in the tri-state.

Cold is coming in and have seen some info about the white stuff on Sunday. Nothing major at this point, but one of those "storm up the coast and cold air in place, cold see accumulating snow on Sunday" type of things.

Stay tuned.

I thought you hated this thread

 

[Bones45]

I thought you hated this thread

Isles victories = panacea

 

[Bunk Moreland]

Saw this on news 12's website you guys have any idea what's gonna happen?

"News 12 meteorologists are tracking a coastal storm that could possibly bring significant snowfall to Long Island this weekend."

 

[MattMartin]

Saw this on news 12's website you guys have any idea what's gonna happen?

"News 12 meteorologists are tracking a coastal storm that could possibly bring significant snowfall to Long Island this weekend."

I'm not seeing it...

Lynbrook, NY (11563) 10-Day Weather Forecast - The Weather Channel | Weather.com

 

[YearlyLottery]

Kids have been f***ing crazy at work. I could use a damn snow day.

 

[teknics]

Kids have been ****ing crazy at work. I could use a damn snow day.

If you’re a teacher please don’t forget your maintenance guys - while I like the overtime and comp time I’m NOT ready to sit in a plow for 16 hours. lol

 

[doublechili]

Isles victories = panacea

First read I saw "pancreas" which was like .

 

[Bones45]

Saw this on news 12's website you guys have any idea what's gonna happen?

"News 12 meteorologists are tracking a coastal storm that could possibly bring significant snowfall to Long Island this weekend."

Not significant.. just some snow. (for now!)

 

[TeamKidd]

gonna need two pieces of energy to hit the coast at the same time, one from north, one from south, to get amplification...wont know until the energy pieces come into the N.A. Observational envelope (they are in the pacific now). feeling like it wont quite get it done right now but we'll need another day or two to get higher confidence. so, mostly light, if anything right at the moment. some potential is still there for something more significant tho.

 

[The Lighthouse]

gonna need two pieces of energy to hit the coast at the same time, one from north, one from south, to get amplification...wont know until the energy pieces come into the N.A. Observational envelope (they are in the pacific now). feeling like it wont quite get it done right now but we'll need another day or two to get higher confidence. so, mostly light, if anything right at the moment. some potential is still there for something more significant tho.

Will be returning from Maryland via Amtrak on Sunday, so I'm hoping there's not enough energy to get it done!

 

[Nosebleed40]

gonna need two pieces of energy to hit the coast at the same time, one from north, one from south, to get amplification...wont know until the energy pieces come into the N.A. Observational envelope (they are in the pacific now). feeling like it wont quite get it done right now but we'll need another day or two to get higher confidence. so, mostly light, if anything right at the moment. some potential is still there for something more significant tho.

Good stuff, as usual. Do you have any thoughts how the remainder of the winter will play out? Are we looking at some shots down the line/sustained cold or warmer than average?

 

[NC 1972]

Good stuff, as usual. Do you have any thoughts how the remainder of the winter will play out? Are we looking at some shots down the line/sustained cold or warmer than average?

We are in an El Nino year usually translates to warmer than average winters.

 

[TeamKidd]

Good stuff, as usual. Do you have any thoughts how the remainder of the winter will play out? Are we looking at some shots down the line/sustained cold or warmer than average?

well the going theory is that it is going to turn colder in the next 10 days and will become more active with better storm potential from the 3rd week of january on. It should stay relatively cold until the end of February and then warm up. None of the 'cold until may' crap we dealt with last year....

this current system still looks pretty flat as of right now. snow for carolinas/VA/DE maybe south jersey but right now doesnt look like it is going to climb enough for us. very flat flow right now.

 

[Bones45]

I would love one of those bomb diggity storms to blast us for 2' on a Thurs night into a friday.....On Friday... party/ shovel/hot tub..and then 70 on Sunday to melt that crap.

Perfect Storm

 

[Riseonfire]

well the going theory is that it is going to turn colder in the next 10 days and will become more active with better storm potential from the 3rd week of january on. It should stay relatively cold until the end of February and then warm up. None of the 'cold until may' crap we dealt with last year....

this current system still looks pretty flat as of right now. snow for carolinas/VA/DE maybe south jersey but right now doesnt look like it is going to climb enough for us. very flat flow right now.

Your posts are appreciated way beyond what is shown here. Thanks.

 

[Quickdraw2828]

You people should be up here. Five degrees. We're fostering a puppy from Mississippi and I just took him outside. He looked at me like wtF is this?

 

[BossyMVP]

well the going theory is that it is going to turn colder in the next 10 days and will become more active with better storm potential from the 3rd week of january on. It should stay relatively cold until the end of February and then warm up. None of the 'cold until may' crap we dealt with last year....

this current system still looks pretty flat as of right now. snow for carolinas/VA/DE maybe south jersey but right now doesnt look like it is going to climb enough for us. very flat flow right now.

This is also what I have seen from long range models. Last week of Jan into first 2 weeks of Feb may be very active and cold. But what a crappy pattern for snow. 45 degrees with heavy rain or 25 degrees with clear skies.

 

[BMOK33]

This is also what I have seen from long range models. Last week of Jan into first 2 weeks of Feb may be very active and cold. But what a crappy pattern for snow. 45 degrees with heavy rain or 25 degrees with clear skies.

That’s pretty much what this area normally should get. The last 15-18 years with the exception of a few winters have been abberations snow wise here. The 60s-80s were much more representative with many winters seeing only 20-30 inches total. I don’t think we will see this setup with all these 12 inch plus storms continue much longer. It was likely the product of some sort of climate blip. At the end of this winter I think most of the metropolitan area will end up fairly close to normal snowfall. It’s probably going to be active 1/20-3/1 at least

 

[Bunk Moreland]

Seeing on weather channel website there's a chance for some snowfall next weekend:

Sat night:
Rain and snow in the evening transitioning to snow showers late. Low 29F. Winds ENE at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of precip 60%. Snow accumulating 3 to 5 inches.

Sunday:
A wintry mix in the morning will become lighter in the afternoon. High 33F. Winds N at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of precip 50%. 3 to 5 inches of snow and ice expected.

Sunday night:
A wintry mix early will transition to some snow showers late. Low 19F. Winds NNW at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of precip 50%. 1 to 3 inches of snow and ice expected.

 

[Tres Peleches]

Seeing on weather channel website there's a chance for some snowfall next weekend:

Sat night:
Rain and snow in the evening transitioning to snow showers late. Low 29F. Winds ENE at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of precip 60%. Snow accumulating 3 to 5 inches.

Sunday:
A wintry mix in the morning will become lighter in the afternoon. High 33F. Winds N at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of precip 50%. 3 to 5 inches of snow and ice expected.

Sunday night:
A wintry mix early will transition to some snow showers late. Low 19F. Winds NNW at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of precip 50%. 1 to 3 inches of snow and ice expected.

That storm is a very interesting one to watch.

That’s all I’m confident in saying at the moment lol