Alf Silfversson
Registered User
- Jun 8, 2011
- 5,833
- 4,917
Well that's at least one way to explain this reaction:
Better or worse odds to make the playoffs then the hamburgler run?
Do we have any statisticians here?
Well that's at least one way to explain this reaction:
Legit lmao.If we ran the table on them we would have legit shot.
Quite a bit worse, behind by more points with less games remaining, while the teams ahead all have significant games in hand.Better or worse odds to make the playoffs then the hamburgler run?
Do we have any statisticians here?
Quite a bit worse, behind by more points with less games remaining, while the teams ahead all have significant games in hand.
If the Sens go on an improbable 19-1-1 run to end the season, they’d still need one of Toronto, Montreal, Edmonton or Winnipeg to lose a certain amount of of games.
If we go 19-1-1 to finish the season, the Habs have to go worse than 13-10-2 at the same time in order for the Sens to pass them.
Right now, 67ish points is what seems to be needed to make the playoffs, Sens would need to go 20-1 to reach that, along with hoping the other teams don’t keep up their current pace.
Lol it would take a Hamburglar type run from Gustavsson for us to even come close to a playoff spot. We are basically guaranteed to play less than .500 in our remaining away games.
Quite a bit worse, behind by more points with less games remaining, while the teams ahead all have significant games in hand.
If the Sens go on an improbable 19-1-1 run to end the season, they’d still need one of Toronto, Montreal, Edmonton or Winnipeg to lose a certain amount of of games.
If we go 19-1-1 to finish the season, the Habs have to go worse than 13-10-2 at the same time in order for the Sens to pass them.
Right now, 67ish points is what seems to be needed to make the playoffs, Sens would need to go 20-1 to reach that, along with hoping the other teams don’t keep up their current pace.
Sens have all but been mathematically eliminated.I just had some time to take a peak at the Habs schedule:
don’t forget the habs also play either the Oilers or Toronto 8 more times this year. So dropping 4 games to the Sens would put them in a heap of trouble.
Would much rather a top pick
The point of this thread wasn’t really to say it’s a likely outcome just more that if we pull up our socks here and start with 3-0-0 on MTL maybe we could get excited about the next game.. it’s gonna have to be taken game by game because if we lose more then 2 or 3 we are probably done at that point.
But as of today... we still have a shot here and I think we can run the table on the habs
if they are smart this is a topic in the dressing room right now to get the boys motivated. 1 game at a time. Get the W in regulation. Against Oilers and Toronto get the W in OT all good. Or lose in OT all good.
Sens have all but been mathematically eliminated.
National Hockey League Playoff Chances - Sports Club Stats
NHL Playoff Odds
Playoff Probabilities Report | Hockey-Reference.com
Montreal aren’t in any trouble, and the Sens are not in anyway in the conversation. Should that happen and the Sens sweep the Habs the rest of the season, the Habs drop 9%, the Sens rise less than 1%.
But if you want to cling on to the 0-0.3% chance, you’re more than welcome
As I said, I’d they lose all 4 to us, they drop from 90ish% or so chance to an 80ish% or so, so not at all. If we win all those, we still are at less than a 5% chance to make it.If MTL drops all 4 games to the Sens they are done.
Yes they do. Read the title of the thread.Percentages mean nothing in this conversation.
Is there a route into the playoffs? Yes.
Would've been nice if we didn't drop that extra point against TOR.