There's no such thing as a sure thing with this team and their development process, especially with a pitcher
In some drafts there are. I Look at whos #1 at their position. The top college pitcher is Emerson Hancock..hes supposed to be as safe as a pick as Mize..even Cole. And as for Abel...he would go top of draft in some of the weaker classes. We didnt miss on Taillon.hes great. Just so much bad luck with injury after injury..to cancer. Getting Abel would be like getting him again. Tno ive seen comps to Glasnow and AJ Burnett. There's no Machado we would be passing on this time. That's Austin Martin(3b/SS/2B for Vandy) whos going 3rd.
What I wouldnt trust is the group of college pitchers who usually get taken in bunches... I dont want the 5th or 6th ranked college pitcher. Its hard picking the right one. Landing the top player at their position works out best.
RHP college = Emerson Hancock
LHP college = Asa Lacy
HS RHP = Mick Abel
Only exception id make other than those 3 is for JT Ginn who was taken out of HS last year draft 30th overall to Dodgers. And had a solid freshman season worthy of being a top 10 selection.
That's for pitching....
Bats have plenty of OFs...but so does our system. This year completely stacked tho. Dylan Crews, Pete Crow-Armstrong, and Austin Hendrick are the HS OFs. Hendrick rising up the board after what he did in summer league. Also from Pittsburgh..alot of raw power as a LHB . He has franchise player type potential but again...we have so many OFs and there's so many good players at other positions.
Catchers...Patrick Bailey in college. If he has a great junior season it will solidify his #1 C status of this class. But HS Drew Romo is getting comps to Yadier Molina. Already doing amazing things behind the plate while also being a switch hitter who has power and can hit for avg. Riskier pick being out of HS but we will find out more as the year goes on.
Then Blaze Jordan who has 40-50 HR potential. But doesn't offer much else.
Could wait til 2nd round for a catcher and take Austin Wells(Arizona) who is rising up the rankings too. Then theres HS Tyler Soderstrom. Hes more offense than D but his bat is crazy good. That's 4 top C prospects that I hope we get one of.
2020 MLB Draft | FanGraphs Baseball
This mock gives you an idea of who will be likely first rounders...wtih some moving up or down of course.
2020 MLB Mock Draft | 2020 MLB Draft | MLB Draft |