This may be true, but doesnt mean they are always correct. When you have players like EJ Manuel, Tim Tebow, Christian Ponder, and Blaine Gabbert going in the 1st round, you have to question how some people in the NFL have jobs.
Eh, not really. Even the best teams and the best scouts in the world blow it from time to time. It is easy to sit here and say, "I knew Manuel/Tebow/Ponder/Gabbert/whomeber was going to be a bust!" In reality, we as fans don't
really know that. It is so so so so so so much easier to say a guy will bust and be right, than to say a guy will be successful and be right. The people making these decisions have watched footage, seen tape, spoken with, watched them in person, and done all their homework. Sometimes it doesn't translate to the NFL and you may not know it until it is too late. The same way Tom Brady slipped into the 7th round and so many big time players go even wholly undrafted. This is an incredibly inexact science and as fans it is even more inexact.
If Winston goes #1 and I say he is a bust the Bucs should not have taken him, and he turns out to bust, I don't really think that is me being "right." I've seen him play really only a handful of times, and during that time I wasn't really watching him to see if he was going to be an NFL quarterback...I was just watching the game. And the person who scouted, spoke with, etc. Winston, isn't some bumbling idiot who shouldn't have a job in the NFL. If it were easy to pick these guys, there'd be a lot more superstars chosen in the first round than there already are, and a lot less guys succeeding outside of the first couple rounds.