Randy Butternubs
Registered User
I looked into my claim further. Using:
Hockey Reference's ages of players relative to the season they played
a loosely defined "made it to the NHL" parameter
the defenders from the 8 good teams last season of COL, TB, NYR, EDM, STL, FLA, CAR, CGY
the defenders from the 4 poop teams last season of PHI, SEA, ARI, MTL
I ended up getting 95 NHL-defenders. And from that I wrote down their ages when they first became a full time NHLer.
Lowest age, clearly, was 18. Highest age was 27. Average was 22.2 and mode was 24. Sample Standard Deviation was 2.06.
I forget my stats class from like 15 years ago so I'm not 100% certain on this next sentence. But I think with my sample size I can say that with 95% confidence that NHL defenders make it between ages 18.1 and 26.3. And if I want to change that to 75%, then the ages change to 19.8 and 24.6.
Also, we can't say what ages this generation of players are peaking at since they're still playing.
Using this, I guess POJ has til January 2024 til I give up on him.