Okay, since we’re not likely to see any real movement until sometime next week (and since my puppy had me up WAY too friggin’ early this morning), just for fun, I pulled together my Bernmeister-style “BLOW IT UP†NYR offseason (trades arranged in order from what I think is most likely to most off the wall):
Trades:
To ANA: Nash (50% retained)
To NYR: Vatanen, Nattinen, 2017 2nd rd pick
Rationale: Anaheim has a really good core, but with Getzlaf, Perry and Kesler all on the wrong side of 30 now, they have a window of 2-3 more years. Time for them to go for it. They’re only giving up one roster player, who is a luxury for them (as they’re loaded with young offensive defensemen) and about to become more expensive. They have all their picks next year but for their 6th rounder, so the pick isn’t that painful (and should be fairly low). They get a player of Nash’s quality for half price. Rangers get a RH offensive defenseman, a good (not great) center prospect and a 2nd rounder in next year’s draft.
To NSH: Brassard
To NYR: Kamenev, 2016 1st rd pick (#17 OA), and for cap dump purposes, Ribeiro
Rationale: Nashville gets desperately needed offensive help, at their position of greatest need, on a phenomenal contract (both in terms of cap hit and real $). They also dump Ribeiro who is declining, has a history of clashing with coaches, and would be an unnecessary cost as a 3rd line center at his salary. Rangers get a good young center, a mid round 1st rounder in a decent, but not great draft, and a guy who they can perhaps flip for a 2nd or 3rd rounder at the deadline in Ribeiro.
To WPG: M. Staal
To NYR: 2016 2nd rd pick (#36 OA), 2017 2nd rd pick
Rationale: Winnipeg brings in the still-very-good-for-all-the crap-he-takes-around-here Marc Staal, who is a hometown boy (although technically Minneapolis is about an hour closer by car), giving them a solid, steady LD on a team that could use some steady D-first guys to balance out the high-risk offensive defensemen who play the right side on their D pairs. Also allows them to trade Marc Stuart to a team that needs a decent defenseman on a decent ($, term) contract, should they choose to do so. Winnipeg has two 1sts this year and all their picks next year, so giving up a pair of 2nds isn’t that painful. Also, while the Rangers might’ve been able to get more in return, they don’t want to retain cash on a deal with that much term left, and so are content to settle for two 2nd rounders. Obviously requires Staal to waive his NMC, but he does it to be closer to home (and because Eric also signs there).
Rangers get two 2nds to replenish their depleted pool.
To MIN: Stepan, 2016 3rd rd pick (#81 OA)
To NYR: Brodin, Tuch, 2016 1st rd pick (#15 OA)
Rationale: as with Anaheim, Minnesota’s key players are now all in their early 30s. They bring the hometown kid home (and as an added bonus, he can play for them for another 8-10 years, so it’s not as short term a move as the Nash deal is for Anaheim). Again, only giving up one roster player, in this case a guy who’s already earning $4MM+ and has been a bit of disappointment to them given his contract. The prospect and pick hurt, especially given Minnesota’s lack of picks this year, but you’ve got to pay up for a player in his prime like Stepan, and the Rangers also include a 3rd rounder to soften the blow of the first Minnesota gives up. Rangers get a young, potential breakout/change of scenery candidate in Brodin, a very promising prospect in Tuch, and a mid round 1st rounder in a decent, but not great draft.
To EDM: McDonagh, Klein
To NYR: Draisaitl, 2016 1st rd pick (#4 OA), 2016 3rd rd pick (#63 OA), 2017 3rd rd pick
Rationale: Here ya go, Edmonton, all your defensive problems solved in one fell swoop, with two guys under contract (and without NMCs, so they cannot refuse to go to hockey’s Siberia).
If Talbot can return to his pre-trade form, you’ve now got a team that can make some noise in the west, and could very quickly become a perennial cup contender with McDavid, Hall, RNH, Eberle, and Yakupov up front, McD, Nurse, and Klefbom on the back end. Klein adds steadying veteran presence. Gotta give to get, though, and it’ll cost you (though with Edmonton’s bevy of picks and young players they can easily afford it). Rangers get a potential #1C, a great pick, a 3rd rounder to replace the one given up in the Stepan deal, plus an extra 3rd the year after.
To DAL: Lundqvist, Glass
To NYR: Nichushkin, Honka, 2017 1st rd pick, and for cap dump purposes, NYR also agree to take Lehtonen.
Rationale: This is the one that hurts by far the most given how much we all love Hank, but this IS my blow it all up scenario, so... Dallas is strengthening its biggest weakness by bringing in the best player at his position in the league; by acquiring Lundqvist they become early favorites to challenge Pittsburgh next year. Also, they get out from under the burden of Lehtonen’s contract. Obviously this also requires waiving of an NMC, but Hank agrees because it gives him a real shot at the cup before he retires (plus Joel gives him the inside dope on all the really good BBQ joints).
Rangers get a promising young RW, a promising young RD, and likely a (very) late 1st round pick. Also, thankfully, get rid of Glass. Lehtonen has been a major disappointment for 3 straight years now, but perhaps Allaire can get him back to his pre-2014 form. If not, Raanta is serviceable, and they’re both only here to keep the seat warm for Shestyorkin/Halverson/Skapski anyway.
UFAs:
Let Yandle, E. Staal, Moore, and Boyle all walk.
Retain Stalberg on a 2 year, $1.5MM deal.
Sign Vesey, plus a bunch of other NCAA UDFAs
Sign 3-4 solid, veteran, high character, bottom six F, bottom pair D guys on relatively short term, relatively low $ contracts.
Players Retained:
Girardi: probably not tradeable right now given his terrible season last year, and besides, given the movement above, you need some veteran leadership. Is likely the Captain of the team for 2016-2017.
MZA: another great player on a great contract who would help any team, but again with all the movement above there’s a real need for some continuity and good good locker room guys, so you keep him around to start the season.
Then, you make him available at the deadline.
Fast, Lindberg, Kreider, Miller, Hayes: the young core up front.
Skjei, McIlrath: the young core on the back end.
Raanta: solid back-up/serviceable starter if Lehtonen is terrible again.
Roster:
Kreider–Draisaitl–MZA
Miller–Ribeiro–Buchnevich
Lindberg–Hayes–Nichushkin
Stalberg–UFA–Fast
UFA
Brodin–Vatanen
Skjei–McIlrath
UFA–Girardi
UFA
Lehtonen
Raanta
Prospects Added:
Nattinen
Kamenev
Tuch
Honka
Vesey
(Net) Picks Added:
2016: three 1st rounders (including the #4 OA), one 2nd rounder, and the team’s 3rd rounder improves 18 spots.
2017: one 1st rounder, two 2nd rounders, and one 3rd rounder
Subsequent moves at the 2017 trade deadline:
Trade MZA for picks/prospects (should fetch multiple 1st rounders and/or grade A prospects).
Trade Ribeiro for pick/prospect (should fetch a 2nd rounder or a grade B prospect).
Projected result:
Next year the team is in the bottom half of the league, but manages to stay relevant for the 8th playoff spot in the east for the first 40 games or so, before finally becoming a clear seller by the deadline. They're fun as hell to watch, especially seeing kids like Draisaitl, Buchnevich, Nichushkin, Skjei, etc. develop before our eyes (along with the guys listed as "prospects" who inevitably get called up during the season). The year thereafter, they are a solid bet for the playoffs, especially if they supplement with one or two savvy UFA signings. The year after that, if everything breaks right, prospects develop, etc. they're cup contenders.
Flame away!