There is almost no case where he retires with over 2,000 points.
Here are his point finishes relative to NHL history of 'x' aged seasons:
30 year old | 27th |
31 year old | 11th |
32 year old | 19th (points/gp) |
[TBODY]
[/TBODY]
I believe Crosby will definitely age great, but here are projections if he finishes every single one of his next seasons as the most, 3rd most, 5th most, or 10th most points for each 'x' aged season from 33 onwards
| Best 'x' aged | 3rd best | 5th best | 10th best |
Current | 1,263 | 1,263 | 1,263 | 1,263 |
33 | 126 | 103 | 96 | 90 |
34 | 102 | 96 | 94 | 87 |
35 | 116 | 99 | 90 | 82 |
36 | 94 | 90 | 83 | 79 |
37 | 100 | 91 | 82 | 70 |
38 | 82 | 76 | 72 | 63 |
39 | 82 | 78 | 76 | 65 |
40 | 103 | 80 | 62 | 42 |
Total after 40 year old season | 2,068 | 1,976 | 1,918 | 1,841 |
| | | | |
41 | 71 | 66 | 43 | 32 |
42 | 52 | 47 | 43 | 17 |
43 | 66 | 11 | 6 | - |
| 2,257 | 2,100 | 2,010 | 1,890 |
[TBODY]
[/TBODY]
This assumes he stay healthy and plays more or less max games every year going forward (most likely not happening). There's just no reasonable expectation to justify 2,000 points.