Hi Bonsai,
Don't know if you want to do the math yourself or if that doesn't interest you. Here is the link to the Arena Report for last June (end of Year 1).
http://www.glendaleaz.com/finance/documents/FY14MonthlyArenaReport-20140630.pdf
The part that changes (which deck chairs get re arranged) are the 3rd through 7th lines. All the rest stays the same. Sales taxes still go to the city. Naming Rights still split the same way, etc.
Those 3rd through 7th lines amount to about 3.6M.
Thus, if all events, tickets, parking and attendance, as well as numbers of non-hockey events are identical next year to the year we are looking at...
IA would get their 6.5M AMF (under the new amendment). Plus IA gets the 3.6M that was going to the city before. That's 10.1M. In other words, 5M less than the 15M/yr they got before.
City gets (we'll add this differently). Before, a 9M deficiency, as listed on that link. Now, the city would pay 6.5M + 500K Capital Expenditures, and get back:
1.1M Sales Tax
500K Rent
300K Naming rights (new contract)
500K Miscellaneous items on the bottom of the list
That adds to a 5M deficiency. City comes out 4M ahead (The 5M for the team and 4M for the city don't match, because we are using the pro-rated year of 2013-14. The 5M for the team is the one that holds.)
So, you right. Some deck chairs re-arranged. But, done in a way to the city's advantage.
IA survives by going hard for non-hockey events. It's the only way.
Like I wrote yesterday, I believe that the city hopes they succeed, because I believe the ideal result for the CoG is to have the team there. They just can't give them the $$ to do it.