So just more luck and randomness? Cory is the "unluckiest" athlete I've ever heard of...seriously. A streak of bad luck spanning 6 years.
2019 is so obviously not randomness was the point of that post. I'm not sure how you read that post and came away with the idea that I was ascribing it to luck. I am ascribing it to the fact that one guy played a lot when the Devils' best skater was in the lineup and the other guy did not. 2018 is closer to luck, but wasn't exactly, either, I don't think.
It's a combination of 3 things, IMO - and I haven't checked on MadDevil's accounting but I assume it is correct.
A: Strength of schedule - Kinkaid is more likely to be facing weaker teams.
B: Minor score effects - I think being scored on makes it slightly more likely that your own team will score - Kinkaid/Brodeur were appreciably worse than Schneider over the duration(s) in question
B2: Minor survivorship bias - since Natural Stat Trick is counting empty net goals, it means the rich get richer - a team scoring more goals is more likely to have won and is thus more likely to have scored an empty net goal
C: Luck, whether that's guys playing harder for another goalie or pucks going in at the other end or whatever.
I agree it's weird that in no year has Schneider's GF/60 beaten his backup's - I just cannot ascribe that to the goaltender.