First, I just want to confirm, you do realize I am not saying that CBJ should give Panarin up for just anything so they recover something, right? I was referring to the point that CBJ would not be the same team as before they got Panarin, so its not truly a free Panarin (my interpretation of his example, perhaps I was splitting hairs). I also didn't say he should be traded for scraps to recover something. I say at the end (and in other posts) that CBJ shouldn't sell low on him and need to weigh what the options are during the season. No where do I say he should be traded to try to recover those assets that he was traded for; that has never once been in any of my posts.
Second, I'm not sure that really applies since, as I mentioned when I said I understand he should not be sold low, I am not saying he should be traded because CBJ spent assets on him. Perhaps it's nebulous in that post but if you look at my others regarding this, I've only mentioned the current moment in the present with no reference to the past. It comes down to these options: trade Panarin for assets in case he walks at the end of the year, or keep him and hope for a deep playoff run which may or may not convince him to stay. This isn't exactly the same as the classic Sunk Cost Fallacy example of movie tickets. Panarin is the movie ticket, and him walking is the "you can't go to the movie" part. If you bought the ticket for $100 and you decide not to go but someone offers you $10 for the tickets, most people would say no because they spent $100 and the net is -90 where as if you forget that, you could have $10 if you forget about the sunk cost. The only difference with the Panarin example is that you have value in keeping him. His value is also linked to how the season goes and how far CBJ goes into the playoffs. Essentially this would be the movie ticket example except if you stay home and keep the ticket, you would receive somewhere between 0 and 200 dollars (having a horrible season where they miss the playoffs or they win the cup) versus you know you can sell the ticket for $75 or something.
Again, I never said he should be traded to recover the assets spent. I say my only critique is on his example with regards to that. Maybe I should have separated those two sections to make it more clear but I am referring to right now what the options are regardless of what he cost. Trade him and get assets instead of nothing, or take a shot for a deep run. Both are variable options that are hard to quantify definitively; hence why I mention I don't think they should sell low on him. The value comes down to perspective of each person.
