I am looking at Oskar Steen's stats and trying to guess what he might be in the NHL. I would prefer to compare him to Jesper Bratt, selected 3 spots ahead of him in 2016, but he never played in the SHL.
So I'll compare OS, who's 8 months older, to Elias Pettersson and while they were born in the same calendar year, Steen was drafted 1 year earlier.
Steen had played 2.5 years in the SHL up until the end of last season while EP only played there last year. So Steen was in the draft cycle 1 year ahead of EP but is still in the SHL 1 year later so there is at least a 2 year slower development curve, which is somewhat expected for smaller players.
The last time they played together was last year's WJC-20:
Name | Games | Goals | Assists | Points | PiM | +/- |
EP | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 0 | -1 |
OS | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 5 |
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Not bad numbers, 57% points as EP in small sample but playing on same team against same opponents.
EP went off in the SHL last year to lead the league in scoring as a rookie with 56 points in 44 games. He then went off even harder in the playoffs with 19 points in 13 games with a +17.
OS, with 2 years slower development, has 35 points in 43 games. That's about 62% of the point total of EP, call it 2/3rds for simplicity. The real test is to see how he performs in the playoffs. OS has played 17 SHL playoff over the last 3 seasons with 0 points and a -6 total. If he can be close to a PPG pace in the playoffs that would maintain a 2/3rds point % to EP.
2/3rds rate would have him around Heinen numbers last year, somewhere in the 40 point range as a 3rd liner. But really, I think we need to wait and see what he does in the playoffs. If he has another 0-for playoffs, then I don't think he will be much beyond a 4th liner and PKer. So I'm not going to get my hopes up just yet that the Bruins found another late round gem. Yet.
PS: He's tied for 7th overall in league scoring on the 2nd best team in the SHL. He's still 20 for another couple of days while the next youngest in the top 10 scoring is 25. There are also 2 26 year olds, a 27 year old, and the remaining 5 are 30 years old and up. So there is that.
Source:
2018–19 SHL season - Wikipedia