I'm bullish for at least western Suffolk westward. So long as the ULL doesn't gain too much latitude, that track screams major snowstorm.close shave between a foot and a few slushy inches and a driving rain. given the amount of cold air in place i'll lean more on snow. but it is not a given. at all. late morning wednesday through evening on most of the accumulating stuff...
Yeah NAM coming in with a foot of snow for LI, especially western suffolk and west. Given it almost snowed last storm and it was 60 degrees the day before, this one has a lot more cold to work with so i'm leaning that way too...especially as low pulls away, north wind, VERY cold aloft...badaboom.I'm bullish for at least western Suffolk westward. So long as the ULL doesn't gain too much latitude, that track screams major snowstorm.
Strengthening System riding northward then due east south of the Island then northeast towards the Cape? Yeah, that's classic.
Only question for me is the BL, especially given it is 2 weeks from The vernal equinox, but still if it's thumping with temps of 35 it's going to stick. Temps above say 970mb look plenty cold for snow on NAM and EURO... GFS, RGEM a bit warmer.
21z SREFS had a mean of almost 9 inches of snow at ISP. Probably of more importance is that, at most, it spits out about a 27% chance of a p-type of rain (down from 30% at 15z). And that's at ISP, it's safe to assume it would be much lower in places like western Suffolk and westward.
Eagerly awaiting the 00z guidance
Yeah. At first it looked worse with a bit of rain at the onset. That was because there was a piece of the s/w that dragged behind a bit knocking it a bit out of sync. Once it caught up though boom.Yeah NAM coming in with a foot of snow for LI, especially western suffolk and west. Given it almost snowed last storm and it was 60 degrees the day before, this one has a lot more cold to work with so i'm leaning that way too...especially as low pulls away, north wind, VERY cold aloft...badaboom.
I'm bullish for at least western Suffolk westward. So long as the ULL doesn't gain too much latitude, that track screams major snowstorm.
Strengthening System riding northward then due east south of the Island then northeast towards the Cape? Yeah, that's classic.
Only question for me is the BL, especially given it is 2 weeks from The vernal equinox, but still if it's thumping with temps of 35 it's going to stick. Temps above say 970mb look plenty cold for snow on NAM and EURO... GFS, RGEM a bit warmer.
21z SREFS had a mean of almost 9 inches of snow at ISP. Probably of more importance is that, at most, it spits out about a 27% chance of a p-type of rain (down from 30% at 15z). And that's at ISP, it's safe to assume it would be much lower in places like western Suffolk and westward.
Eagerly awaiting the 00z guidance
Well, seeing how much you don't like Snow, it's not good newsI put this post into Google Translate and still nothing. Can you assist?
Well, seeing how much you don't like Snow, it's not good news
No, not likely methinks unfortunately. Likely too far northwest for rain, too far southeast to miss heavy snow.Very well played. I live in Westchester. Any hope for me?
No, not likely methinks unfortunately. Likely too far northwest for rain, too far southeast to miss heavy snow.
Here's hoping you guys get power back before the storm, sounds like you guys had it rough up there with the last one.
New GFS isn't much snow for LI... incredible the differences about 30 hours out. Low confidence forecast for sure.
We're gonna get pounded with 9 inches.I put this post into Google Translate and still nothing. Can you assist?
We're gonna get pounded with 9 inches.
We're gonna get pounded with 9 inches.
We’ve gotten pounded with 9 inches for over 25 yearsWe're gonna get pounded with 9 inches.
Rain snow line right over Long Island. NW of it, a foot of snow. SE of it...not much. On it...Somewhere in between with sleet.
Models have trended a bit warmer and wetter (read:less snowier) for LI today. Glad i’m Not making real forecasts and school decisions anymore...
Kind of crazy still seeing varying snow totals depending on the source. Newsday is saying 8-12 where as channel 2 said at noon that south shore Nassau was only 2-4in.
We're gonna get pounded with 9 inches.
Round 3 Tuesday.. news 12 saying up to 8 inches on parts of the island.