OT: Severe Weather Discussion II

[TeamKidd]

If the airmass was anything but terrible, this would be a massive snowstorm here... alas, at least for a good chunk of the storm it will rain. Finally get a -NAO for the first time in what seems like forever and we lose the upstream support...

Still though, if you took out the temps and just looked at the mid and upper levels you'd think we were getting buried. Still time for some surprises with a storm this dynamic, particularly away from the immediate coast.

yeah it will definitely "create" it's own cold air and it could be enough to overpower the warmth, but thats a tough one this time of year and with this general airmass. NAM brings snow all the way to the coast, but it's an outlier...

 

[MJF]

Just FYI, pretty massive storm brewing for late thursday night through saturday morning. Very windy and a lot of rain (small chance of snow mostly away from the coast), coastal flooding...nasty day on friday

I hope it doesn’t wreck the billboards.

 

[Tres Peleches]

yeah it will definitely "create" it's own cold air and it could be enough to overpower the warmth, but thats a tough one this time of year and with this general airmass. NAM brings snow all the way to the coast, but it's an outlier...

Hi-res gem is absurd as well. I'm glad I don't forecast for a living anymore, this is the kinda storm where you think it's gonna be plain rain then you notice snow mixing in then next thing you know it's dumping snow.

Not saying that's going to happen, but it's not out of the question

 

[Tres Peleches]

I hope it doesn’t wreck the billboards.

If it does maybe it's God's way of saying to stay the course

Or, more likely it's more proof God hates Islanders fans. Whatever

 

[TeamKidd]

Hi-res gem is absurd as well. I'm glad I don't forecast for a living anymore, this is the kinda storm where you think it's gonna be plain rain then you notice snow mixing in then next thing you know it's dumping snow.

Not saying that's going to happen, but it's not out of the question

Absolutely, intense precipitation and strong winds have a way of overcoming warmth. I’m glad I don’t have to stake my reputation on this storm. Either way, its going to be a best. Very strong winds and coastal flooding for sure...rain...rain and snow...or rain and a lot of snow...wont know until it develops...any meteorologist is BS’ing you if they say they know...

 

[Riseonfire]

Hi-res gem is absurd as well. I'm glad I don't forecast for a living anymore, this is the kinda storm where you think it's gonna be plain rain then you notice snow mixing in then next thing you know it's dumping snow.

Not saying that's going to happen, but it's not out of the question

That is exactly what I observed this morning. Commute was rainy, as soon as I got into my classroom and the kids entered, it all turned to Snow within like, 30 seconds. It was crazy to watch.

Currently going back n fourth between heavy snow and medium rain.

 

[NYI365]

After the mess that was on Friday, I'm hearing about the potential for another storm on Wednesday already? No thank you. #SnowMustGo

 

[Sparksrus3]

There has been a never ending sh-tstorm for almost half a season already . The forecast is it will last about 4 more weeks

 

[Bunk Moreland]

Winter storm watch issued for NYC area saying 6-9 inches with 12in in local areas. Newsday is saying 2-4 in Nassau.

What do you guys think?

 

[BrockLobster]

Please not again. Owning a house in long beach is never fun when big storms come thru. Had a real scare with the flooding this weekend. And I hear it may be similar.

 

[nycole]

Oh god make it stop

 

[PK Cronin]

Winter storm watch issued for NYC area saying 6-9 inches with 12in in local areas. Newsday is saying 2-4 in Nassau.

What do you guys think?

For when?

 

[Tres Peleches]

For when?

Late tomorrow night into Wednesday.

Models at this point range anywhere from a few inches to 15 inches. You know, normal everyday weather stuff.

This is a very complex system, with multiple moving parts. A watch is definitely the right move attm, if it's still looking bad tomorrow go to warning, if things trend west and warmer then go advisory or something.

Latest Euro, FWIW, crushes LI, particularly central areas, with about 10-15 inches. Latest NAM, on the other hand, is a bit of snow to rain.

Being a meteorologist is a tough job, for sure

 

[PK Cronin]

Late tomorrow night into Wednesday.

Models at this point range anywhere from a few inches to 15 inches. You know, normal everyday weather stuff.

This is a very complex system, with multiple moving parts. A watch is definitely the right move attm, if it's still looking bad tomorrow go to warning, if things trend west and warmer then go advisory or something.

Latest Euro, FWIW, crushes LI, particularly central areas, with about 10-15 inches. Latest NAM, on the other hand, is a bit of snow to rain.

Being a meteorologist is a tough job, for sure

Real tough job. Either picnics and rainbows or death and destruction!

 

[Tres Peleches]

Real tough job. Either picnics and rainbows or death and destruction!

Just like Isles HFboards

Minus the picnics and rainbows of course

 

[Sparksrus3]

Being a meteorologist is a tough job, for sure[/QUOTE]

Up there with Islanders GM.

In both positions if you mess it up today there is always tomorrow to get it right. Or the next day or the next day etc etc

 

[Glory Days]

If Snow were a weatherman he would be Carlin's Hippy Dippy Weatherman.

 

[Poulin 0n My St1ck]

Please not again. Owning a house in long beach is never fun when big storms come thru. Had a real scare with the flooding this weekend. And I hear it may be similar.

Do you live closer to the bay or the ocean? I always hear about the houses near the bay flooding worse than the houses near the ocean. I was at Lido West on Saturday and Sunday and, fortunately, there was little to no noticeable erosion. Ocean Parkway and MTK got it pretty bad, of course.

I hope you weather this incoming nor'easter well.

 

[BrockLobster]

Do you live closer to the bay or the ocean? I always hear about the houses near the bay flooding worse than the houses near the ocean. I was at Lido West on Saturday and Sunday and, fortunately, there was little to no noticeable erosion. Ocean Parkway and MTK got it pretty bad, of course.

I hope you weather this incoming nor'easter well.

On the bay side in the canals. 1 block from a canal.

They did alot to protect us from the ocean after sandy. But nothing at the canals or the rest of the bay. So we are most vulnerable

 

[Riseonfire]

Reason #1 I'll never buy waterfront property.

 

[Bones45]

Reason #1 I'll never buy waterfront property.

#2 - mosquitos
#3 - higher taxes and cost
#4 - low tide

 

[periferal]

Anyone else not have power since Friday? I don't.

 

[Bones45]

Anyone else not have power since Friday? I don't.

Where in the hell do you live?

Isles game probably more enjoyable with power off

 

[periferal]

Where in the hell do you live?

Isles game probably more enjoyable with power off

Agreed.

I live in Westchester. Moved from the city around New Year's.

 

[RWWallpaper]

My golf game is very upset by this BS weather...