Having considering it for a while -- I think that we definitely should consider going for
Erik Karlsson as a UFA in the summer of 2019.
There are many truths in this league that should be questioned. One of them is that defense wins championships. Right now I don't think you can dispute that
offense wins championships. Defense might win you games and get you into the POs, but from there its so much about the offense. The haves and have nots differ mostly when it comes to offense. You can get that offense from a Crosby or McDavid, a Kane, and so forth. But you could also try for 30 years to get that Crosby or McDavid and not succeed. There must be a back-up plan. Sure we will need very talented young forwards to build a new contender in NY.
But one guy that can make a heck of a difference offensively is Erik Karlsson. Sure I get all the cons, there are many arguments you can make against it. Age. Health. Contract. And what not. However at the bottom line I definitely think that he makes sense.
First of all offensive Ds if anyone in this league has a long shelf life. Karlsson is definitely not the type who will slow down due to becoming older and heavy, less explosive. Injuries? Sure its a part of it -- but Karlsson has an impact offensively at his peak that can be compared to Crosby and McDavid, if you don't get 100%, 75% is more than you will get from just about anyone not in the top 10 in the league. Karlsson has also been a one man team the last years, on a better team he would be targeted a lot less. Go get him!
To put it like this, will Erik Karlsson still be a top offensive force in the NHL in 2025? I just think its very likely. Not a Hart Candidate anymore, but still a top offensive force. I would be very surprised if he wasn't good at least up until he gets to 37-38 y/o, that is 2027-2028. If we luck out and get Brady Tkachuk with our top pick this draft -- we can basically expect a contribution towards the later 2020's from him too. What is the problem?
Of course there are some unknowns. He could be in a car accident tomorrow. Players get career ending injuries once in a while and Karlsson is targeted a lot by any standard. But if Karlsson moves from Ottawa -- do you think whomever gets him would regret it? I just think its very safe to get him and expect a great return on and off the ice. We need all the help we can get. How are we building a top 10 offense in this league? Getting Karlsson would be a tremendous start. Even if we still move out vets next season -- I think we can start to forget about getting top picks from 2019 and forward anyway, we won't suck enough. This year and next year -- 2 years where we will get higher picks. We traded "everyone" we still don't suck.