Yes - I think last year's version of EK likely would have hit more than 138 points on the Coffey-less Oilers from 1985-86.
If you look at the 7 full seasons EK has played since he broke out, and you apply his point% vs team goals scored, this is what it looks like:
2011-12 | 32.10% |
2013-14 | 32.31% |
2014-15 | 28.45% |
2015-16 | 35.65% |
2016-17 | 34.47% |
2017-18 | 28.31% |
2022-23 | 43.35% |
Now if you adjust that to his team scoring 426 goals like the Oilers did in 1985-86, you get:
2011-12 | 137 points |
2013-14 | 138 points |
2014-15 | 121 points |
2015-16 | 152 points |
2016-17 | 147 points |
2017-18 | 121 points |
2022-23 | 185 points |
The average of the table above is 143 points.
I'm not suggesting he hits 185 or averages 143. I get that he would likely get a lower point% overall, and that being a low-scoring team probably inflates that spacific stat at least a little bit.
What I am suggesting is he would still get more than 138 at the absolute peak of his career on a team with as much firepower as that Oilers team. At his peak, Risto Siltanen was literally a point-per-game defenceman on a similar Oilers team. Gary Suter hit 91 points on a Flames team that had 397 goals. These are not EK/Coffey-level defencemen but they racked up points because their teams simply scored a stupid amount. Combine that with how effective/efficient EK is offensively and I believe he eclipses 138. You can disagree which is fine.
Now let me ask you this...
Karlsson got 101 points on a team that scored 234 goals. Do you think it's unreasonable to suggest he may have gotten an extra 38 points if his team had scored an extra 192 goals (426 total)? Or rather than aswering that - how many points do you think he'd have gotten? Clearly less than 138 - but what's your number exactly? What seems "realistic' to you?