Had the NFC elimination scenarios done last night, and then before I saved them my computer crashed. Oh well they weren't that hard. Might run through them again tonight or tomorrow, or I just might wait for the reddit ones. TB, and ARI were fairly short. There were a lot for Washington. Because with a loss there were 3 seperate sets of results that would put 1 team in from of them. CAR or ATL win/tie, SEA win/tie or DAL win, and then DET win + GB win/tie or DET tie + GB win. Which leaves 12 different combos of things that would eliminate them along with a WSH loss, and I believe they had 2 tie scenarios as well for 14 total.
Ouch. That's the worst. For now, here's the list barring ties
:
ENTERING WEEK 14:
Teams already eliminated: San Francisco, New York Giants, Chicago
Controls own destiny for #1 seed: Nope.
- Minnesota can gain control of their own destiny with a win and a PHI loss
- Minnesota can also gain control of their own destiny with a win and 6 of the following: NYJ win, KC win, GB win, TEN win, HOU win, or CIN
- Philadelphia can gain control of their own destiny with a win and a MIN loss
Teams eliminated from #1 seed contention: Washington, Arizona, Tampa Bay
- Dallas is eliminated from #1 seed contention with a loss, MIN win, or PHI win
- Detroit is eliminated from #1 seed contention with a loss, MIN win, or PHI win
- Green Bay is eliminated from #1 seed contention with a loss, MIN win, or PHI win
- Atlanta is eliminated from #1 seed contention with a loss.
- Carolina is eliminated from #1 seed contention with a loss.
**In all honestly, Dallas is probably already eliminated here (they'd have to beat NO in a strength of victory tiebreak they are way behind in), and Detroit is probably eliminated with a NO win as well for the same reason. Seattle is in a similar boat (except against MIN) with a loss and a MIN win.
Controls own destiny for 1st round bye: Philadelphia, Minnesota
- Minnesota will lose control of their own destiny with a loss, LAR win, and NO win (*will still control hefty strength of victory lead at worst).
- Philadelphia will lose control of their own destiny with a loss.
- Los Angeles will gain control of their own destiny with a win and a NO loss ONLY IF Minnesota clinches strength of victory tiebreaker vs. PHI.
Teams eliminated from 1st round bye contention: Washington, Arizona, Tampa Bay
- Green Bay will be eliminated from 1st round bye contention with a loss or MIN win. (A PHI+NO win would put them at the mercy of a SOV tiebreak with NO they would trail)
- Dallas will be eliminated from 1st round bye contention with a loss, NO win, MIN win, or a PHI win.
- Detroit will be eliminated from 1st round bye contention with a loss or MIN win. (Again, a PHI+NO win would put them at best at the mercy of a SOV tiebreak with NO they would significantly trail)
- Atlanta is eliminated from 1st round bye contention with a loss.
- Carolina is eliminated from 1st round bye contention with a loss and a PHI win.
Has clinched division: None
- Philadelphia clinches the NFC East with a win or a Dallas loss
- Minnesota clinches the NFC North with a win or a GB+DET loss.
Controls own destiny for division: Philadelphia, Minnesota, New Orleans, Atlanta, Los Angeles, Seattle
- Atlanta loses control of their own destiny in the NFC South with a loss.
- Seattle loses control of their own destiny in the NFC West with a loss and a LAR win.
Has been eliminated from divisional contention:Washington, Tampa Bay, Arizona
- Dallas will be eliminated from divisional contention with a loss or a PHI win
- Detroit will be eliminated from divisional contention with a loss or a MIN win
- Green Bay will be eliminated from divisional contention with a loss or a MIN win
- Atlanta will be eliminated from divisional contention with a loss.
Has clinched a wild card spot: None
Clinching Scenarios:
- Los Angeles clinches at least a wild card spot with a win, GB loss, DET loss, CAR loss, ATL loss, and DAL loss
- New Orleans will clinch a playoff spot with a win plus either (1)a MIN win or (2)a GB + DET loss
Controls own destiny for a playoff spot: Philadelphia, Minnesota, New Orleans, Carolina, Atlanta, Los Angeles, Seattle
- Atlanta loses control of their own destiny for a playoff spot with a loss and a CAR win.
Elimination Scenarios
- Tampa Bay is eliminated with a loss, SEA or DAL win and a CAR or ATL win.
- Washington is eliminated with a loss and two of the following three: (1)DAL or SEA win, (2)ATL win (3)GB or DET win
- Washington is also eliminated with a loss and two of the following three: (1)DAL or SEA win, (2)CAR win, (3)DET+GB win.
- Arizona is eliminated with a CAR+ATL+SEA win
- Arizona is eliminated with a loss combined with any of the following: CAR win, ATL win, or a DET win.
I'll likely go back through the week and update/figure out some more of the strength of victory stuff, but this will do for now.
I also do not guarantee complete accuracy. This week was nuts