Not many fans expect Jagr to get more than 50 Pts but he's just one season removed from putting up 27 goals and 66 Pts in 79 games (pace of 70 Pts). So while it's possible he's finally regressing, it's also possible that with a new team, he could be re-energized and find one last hurrah. People forget that in his last season with the Devils, he looked tired, slow, regressing, relegated to the 3rd or 4th line, and was barely seeing any PP icetime, he was at odds with Oates, and as soon as he got traded to the Panthers, he looked like a new player from the first shift he had with the Panthers. He finished that season with 19 Pts in 20 games with the Panthers. While a 75 Pts pace might be hard to sustain over a full season, Jagr is in phenomenal shape, and we all know that he works his butt off to keep up. After that 19 Pts in 20 games perfomance, he followed that with the 66 Pts season in his first full year with the Panthers (he was 7th in Hart voting), and while he only missed 3 games that season, those 3 games came during a break in the Panthers schedule and when he came back, he slumped for about 10 games or so. He would go on to be a PPG player for the last 20 games of the season.
The biggest knock on Jagr seems to be that he's too slow now to keep up with the faster younger players, and while that is a huge concern, Jagr is a very intelligent and adaptable player, and me thinks he slimmed down again this off-season to kind of offset that lack of speed. When he first came back from the KHL, he was 240 lbs, then he played at 230 lbs for the next 4 years, this offseason he looks to be listed at 213 lbs as per this article...
https://www.thestar.com/sports/hock...-to-deal-with-calgary-flames-reports-say.html
The six-foot-three, 213-pound winger from Kladno, Czech Republic
So who knows, maybe him only being 213 lbs now might help him be a bit faster on his skates than he's been the last few years. There are also reports that Jagr really worked on his foot speed while training with this team in Kladno over the past 6 weeks or so. He was doing a lot of skating drills, and tweaking his skating a bit just to add some explosiveness. No one is going to accuse him of being McDavid fast now, but I think he will be a lot faster on his skates than most are expecting him to be.
I might be accused of being a dreamer or in fantasy land, but Jagr can still put up 65 + Pts if in the right situation. Jagr himself pointed out that he's not concerned about missing training camp as he used his first season with the Devils as an example. That Devils team was far less offensively talented than this current Flames team, and despite that, Jagr missed all of training camp (with a new team) as he got injured while riding the plane of all things, and while many fans and posters made fun of him that year, said that his old body couldn't even handle the plane, that he was going to be terrible, after a slow start, Jagr really caught fire and finished with 67 Pts.
Also needing time to adjust to his new linemates won't be a problem as he barely had time to train with the Panthers in his first season with them when he came over at the trade deadline,and as I mentioned above, he put up 19 Pts in 20 games in very little time to adjust.
I think many people will be pleasantly surprised by what Jagr is going to bring to the table in terms of production. I will go out on a limb and say if Jagr is healthy and plays 70 + games, he could be knocking on 30 goals.