tyhee
Registered User
- Feb 5, 2015
- 2,567
- 2,648
While I understand feeling that the return is underwhelming but Motte is functionally a 3rd/4th round pick.
He's reasonably young, an established bottom-6 guy who while smaller can skate and should contribute secondary offense. Has upside. I'd take him over the likely bust that a late 3rd round pick presents.
1. An established bottom-6 guy? Huh? He spent most of last season in the AHL and has spent about 1/3 of the season so far in the AHL, while accumulating a grand total of 5 points in 31 games with the Blue Jackets this season. He isn't an established NHL player.
2. Upside? It is possible, but imo most forwards are showing by the age of 22 and almost 23 what sort of peak they may have. He hasn't shown an NHL scoring touch at all nor has he shown an ability to be a playmaker at the NHL level. His possession stats are dreadful, his scoring production next to nil. Sure, it's possible he'll blossom, but he hasn't been showing signs of it at all.
3. "I'd take him over the likely bust that a late 3rd round pick presents."
Ok, you'll take him over a likely bust. Will you also take him over the chance to get Johnny Gaudreau or Viktor Arvidsson?
The vast majority of players selected in the 3rd round and later will not become more than marginal NHL players (who have next to no value) and many will have no value at all. However, on some occasions the player will turn out to be a very useful player. It is the chance of getting a Johnny Gaudreau or Viktor Arvidsson (or at least a Josh Anderson or Danton Heinen) that gives a 4th round pick its value, not all those players that don't work out.
If you always give up your 4th round picks for 4th liners, you'll have lots of marginal depth but will miss out on those good players who do make a difference.
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