You're correct - you have loads of wind
Incidentally, there was no dispute that "the success rate is even lower for court appointed cases". Me, I wouldn't know, but then that wasn't the point being challenged. Nor did I dispute that Kassian's odds of success may be slim, again I wouldn't know. Sheesh, I didn't even tender an opinion as to what his odds may in fact be. I'm not professing to be an expert in such matters or even to have any relevant experience of the same. That's your side of the equation, and I defer to your claim of experience as a matter of goodwill.
I simply challenged your claim that Kassian's odds will be slim "particularly" because, as you allege, he is "essentially" in the same boat as those who enter rehab to avoid jail. As the situations are in no way similar, the basic premise behind your assertion is simply and fundamentally faulty. Get it?
Look, obviously you don't have a counter point to raise to void my challenge (although if someone else does, I'd be keen to get the input) because otherwise you'd have actually said as much rather than plugging in your little inferred digs and trying to change the topic altogether. But, FYI - not every exchange has to be taken so personally that one either has to "win" the debate or default to salving the ego by inserting erroneous slights. Ppl can actually and simply engage in a discussion, give 'n take points made, etc. It could have just been a convo. Just sayin'