Scherbak is probably going to be traded for depth players or a 5th.
First rounders last ten years:
Kotkaniemi - top3 pick
Poehling - unknown
Sergachev - traded for a 40-50 points winger
Juulsen - just breaking through, hasn't produced a lick
Scherbak - bust
McCarron - bust
Galchenyuk - 50ish point player
Beaulieu - just about done in the NHL, ~20 point d-man who is bad at d
Tinordi - bust in NHL, 10 point d-man who is bad in general
Louis Leblanc - bust in NHL, headcase
For fun, the ten years before:
Pacioretty - great NHLer
McDonagh - great NHLer (overrated by many)
Fischer - mega bust
Price - fantastic NHLer
Chipchura - pseudo-bust/grinder
Higgins - average NHLer
Perezhogin - bust
Komisarek - average NHLer
Hossaa - bust
Rainsey - average NHLer