If i was Brady...i would be betting on myself in year 3 to have an offensive explosion. Go from being an upper 40s guy to a mid 60s or better guy. I wouldn't be in a rush to sign anything. Bottom line for Brady is it's pretty unlikely that his year 3 decreases his future revenue possibility, more likely that year 3 increases it.
I'll go on record with it now saying it's not in Brady's interest to sign. And we'll spend the next year with guys posting left and right about PD not doing his job
Caveat: if Brady does sign, it'll be long term and team friendly
This is never ever ever going to happen. I'd love to be wrong, but let's be real here.
Go look up who his agent is along with the history of the Tkachuk family and their contract negotiations. In the words of a great player, when it comes time to negotiate, Brady is going to get what he's worth.
I'm just curious about how aggressive fans would want to see the team act in locking him down. I think 8 million is a major overpayment in the short term, but I think the end result of waiting will be that he's not going to cost much less than that but it will be on a much shorter term deal.
I of course would want him locked down at a lower number, but I wouldn't think twice about giving him the Chabot contract if that was the best the Sens could do. The contract will not kick in until 2021-22, that coincides with when the US TV deal expires. There's a very good chance the cap is going to continue to go up with that new TV deal. It will be very advantageous to get our key guys locked up and cost controlled.
Just for some perspective, Landeskog received a contract that under next year's possible 83+ million dollar cap would be north of 7 million for 7 years. That was after producing similarly to Tkachuk in only 1.5 seasons (12-13 shortened). Both have certain on ice traits and off ice intangibles that boost their value when it comes to AAV, so I think they make a decent comparison.
I wouldn't consider 8 x 8 a good contract at all, but I don't think it's a bad one, and I think it's better than the alternative which will be bridging Tkachuk at an AAV not all that much lower and risking that cap inflation and the lack of power forwards who ever get anywhere close to UFA puts Tkachuk in a spot where 8 million would have been a bargain.