I don't think anyone is taking issue with the suggestion that he *could* reach that lofty total - odds are against it but hey, some picks will do it - so much as the notion that anyone would be *disappointed* if he didn't reach it.
It depends on much you see out of each prospect.
I have loftier goals for Boeser because I see the talent and ability.
Rather than only looking at draft position, (which is trivial to actual performance), I look at skillset and ability.
Most of the counter arguments center around "well it hasn't happened much", or "but he's a late 1st".
Boeser has an elite release and shot. More importantly his hockey sense to get open is very good.
Radim Vrbata has almost 250 goals and spent time in Europe. 7th rounder.
I see Boeser with as much scoring ability but a bigger frame and more willingness to play in traffic.