I respect the time and effort you've put into this, even if I don't always agree on what you consider stoppable.
Thanks and I do appreciate it. Everything is appreciated. Even the criticism, as long as valid and constructive and not ''LOL'' or ''The defense is bad for this team and that team''. Funny enough, there are goals that other people faulted the goalie for (like the Zacha goal on Luongo the other night) that I didn't mark as stoppable, even though I understood the criticism and thought it was fair.
I expected the numbers for Blackwood (and even Cory to an extent) to be a bit less conclusive, as they played a lot fewer games than most goalies this year and far fewer than Kinkaid. It was kind of like how in December, I noticed goalies with good save percentages, having a high count of goals I counted stoppable and vice versa. Like I said, Vasilevskiy had a higher count of goals I counted stoppable through the first month. Even Carter Hart had an above 30% count until his last game of the season, where he allowed 4 goals and I counted none stoppable, which lowered his percentage. There's more fluctuation with fewer games played and fewer goals allowed, just like actual save percentage. And Matt Murray allowed 3 goals I counted stoppable out of 4 allowed in his final game of the season. I had him as one of the lower percentages in the league, but that game raised it to above 26%.
I believe I counted 28.2% (Something like that) goals stoppable this year. Price, Khudobin, Lehner, Vasilevskiy, Fleury (the most surprising, since the save percentage was above average, but not great), Andersen, Gibson, Grubauer and Halak and maybe a couple other guys (I'd have to break it down, I have it all down on file still) were all at 25.x% or lower. Kuemper was just over 26%. Halak was a guy that I had been touting for most of the season as an overachiever. His percentage was up near 30% for the first few months. His save percentage did drop from about .930% down to .922%, but so did the percentage of goals I counted stoppable down to 24.44%. I still think Halak probably overachieved this year (and underachieved last year), but unlike Koskinen, Rittich and Ullmark, his save percentage and stoppable goal percentage were pretty congruent for me.
One of the bigger discrepancies between goalies on the same team, despite a save percentage that wasn't too far apart was Carter Hutton and Linus Ullmark on Buffalo. For Hutton I counted 38 goals stoppable out of 142 allowed. .908% (below league average by 2 points) save percentage, but just a little over 26% in percentage of his goals that I counted stoppable. Which was lower than the league average count. For Ullmark, I counted 35 goals stoppable out of 109 allowed. .905% save percentage (not much lower than Ullmark's) but percentage of his goals that I counted stoppable was over 32%.
For Florida, Luongo had an .899%, but I only counted 34 of his 122 goals allowed as stoppable, for a percentage of just under 28%. But for Reimer, I counted 28 out of 93 goals stoppable for 30%. Not surprising, as Reimer always failed the eyetest.
As far as bad teams making goalies look worse, Jimmy Howard and Jonathan Bernier (Bernier a really high percentage count for much of the year though, before his finish at the end), were a little better than the average number of goals I've counted as stoppable around the league, but Howard had a one point below league average save percentage and Bernier was a little bit lower than that.
Craig Anderson was at 30% and had a .903% save percentage (just like Cory in both). He probably would have led the league in stoppable goals counted if he hadn't gotten injured and they didn't get Nilsson and play him, even if a lot of that was because Ottawa gives up a lot of shots by far. Anders Nilsson was slightly better than my league average. His save percentage on Ottawa was pretty good, but it was terrible in Vancouver and just below league average on the year. I never did a separate count to differentiate his games between Vancouver and Ottawa.
Jonathan Quick was horrendous, while Jack Campbell had one of the lower counts and a very high save percentage. The only good I'll say for Quick is that he wasn't as bad on my eye test as Koskinen, Smith, Copley and a few others.
Lundqvist was one of the lower percentage guys early in the season, but fell off a cliff in December. I started counting a higher volume of goals stoppable on him even before his save percentage took a huge dive. He might have been up there with Koskinen and Jones if they hadn't played Georgiev more often down the stretch. Georgiev was above league average in both save percentage and better than my league average.
Hellebuyck and Dubnyk were both worse than their save percentages, but not by terribly much. A lot of advanced goalie stats seem to agree with me that Dubnyk isn't great, but this was a low in save percentage since he's been in Minnesota. David Rittich was also worse than his save percentage. I was calling for Rittich and Koskinen to both drop in save percentage months ago, and both eventually did.