Agreed, unless they trade one or two of the 4 to get better D men. With that D core and overall team D, they won't win a cup. The forwards aren't good defensively either as a group. They are not constructed properly like the Hawks/Pens/kings/Blues to win a cup, its all about the team D.
Ive always considered myself a rational Leafs fan. Ive been a fan of this team since Wendel Clark was drafted and have seen a lot of bad, a glimpse of very good, and a glimpse of so so.
The glimpse of very good was the 92-93 teams with Gilmour and Clark. Those two years were the best teams I have seen wear the blue and white. A perfect balance of skill, grit, and defence.
A lot of people say the early 2000's teams were as good but they weren't. Throw money at the best goalies and ride it out. We had no business beating the Sens in those battle of Ontario series but due to goaltending we did.
Since then, the salary cap came along and they had to completely rethink the business plan. JFJ wanted to tear down and rebuild as early as (I think) 2006 but the higher ups (f*** you Peddie and Tannanbaum) wouldn't let him.
Then blowhard burke came in and was going to make a cup contender in five years by cruising the scrap heaps; fail.
Finally got it right with Lou and Shanahan with the total tear down and rebuild. That was painful to watch but necessary.
Now we have the same offence that we had in those 92-93 teams. Better actually in terms of depth. What we are missing though is a shut down bottom 6 that is gritty and proper defence. This four lines of offence strategy is ...meh....
We have all the high priced pieces, those pieces that never get traded away. The pieces that are missing are much easier to aquire. We have a plethora of top 6 guys that other teams would love to trade for. We need a modern version of Peter Zezel and Bob Rouse to start. Having said that the current trading landscape has slowed to a crawl, with the implications of the salary cap really biting hard. Might not be as easy as I like to think.
My concern is we have a GM who is allergic to anything that is not offence (he did get Muzzin though which is a step in the right direction) We are so, so close to being a contender. A couple moves in the right direction and I would agree with the OP, but we aren't there yet.