I'm not a numbers guy either... Pods hasn't been as bad as his stat line indicates, but he's be a far, far reach away from somebody you'd expect to be picked in the top 5. All the concerns I have with his game have been clearly evident in this tournament. He looks like a guy you'd select in the middle of the first. Huge flashes and a number of desirable traits, but it just isn't there yet and a longer development path is needed.
That I agree with and I think is part of where the disconnect comes from; or rather how much importance we place on that...the other being the destination at the end of that road, which probably plays a part in why the former separates us as well.
I fully acknowledge that he has a longer road ahead of him than some of the other options in the top 5...it's actually one of the bigger reasons why I don't stress about his current totals; which don't bother me because of his youth & inexperience prior to this season. But the combination of his skillset, maturity, and how well he has adapted to promotion-after-promotion this year, make me confident in him progressing along that path in time...which is why he reminds me of Makar in ways beyond their maturity & self-awareness in interviews.
That longer road pushed an equivalent talent (Heiskanen) over Makar for me two years ago, and a similar consideration could push Turcotte ahead of Pod this year, whenever I catch up on the U18s, but in the bigger picture that longer road doesn't bother me much. We're not getting a 2019/2020 solution now that we've missed out on Hughes or Kakko, anyways, so we need immediate reinforcements whether we have to wait a year or two for our pick to arrive.
Now we also disconnect on Pod's ultimate upside, and that's probably why I'm much more content to wait a little longer for him than we'd have to for Dach / Cozens / Byram / Krebs...and the real crux of our disagreement.