I really don't think they do other than looking at a players trajectory and if that's the case.
So your explanation for Arvidsson’s contract is that 60 point 23 yr olds are only worth 4.25?
@sabrebuild explained it pretty succinctly.
Reinhart in 3 years hasnt really elevated his game a whole much offensively. It's almost like he came into the NHL already playing at his peak.
I couldn’t disagree more.
How much do past seasons really matter?
1 year of production vs 2-3 years of production matters a lot. Arvidsson’s contract vs proves that.
How many times has a player gone into a contract year and broke out and everyone on the board says man hes gonna get paid, even if he's been non existent up until that point and then they get paid.
Don’t confuse UFA and RFA
Reinharts trajectory hasnt really moved the needle to think he can be anything more 50-55 point player. I personally hope he can be a 65-70 point player but thats because I always hope for the best from our players and its probably not very likely he is that calibre of a player.
Other than the 40 most recent consecutive games that he played at a 70+ Point pace