A realistic scenario is we finish somewhere between 4-7th in our division. Where we end up will depend largely on where players grow/regress and injuries (on our team and others) 7th is a very realistic option, especially if Levi struggles to transition to a pro game workload or teams find a way to expose a weakness after getting more pro tape on him.
"7th is realistic if bad things happen to us and no one else" is basically what you're saying here.
And sure, agreed -- if we're the only team to have bad things happen to us, of course we're finishing 7th.
Hell: Tage, Dahlin, Levi, Power, Tuch, Skinner and Mitts could all get hurt and then having the most ping pong balls for the draft is realistic.
Realistic is acknowledging that every team will have some things break their way and some thing won't. For Buffalo, if more breaks our way than against -- we could finish as high as 3rd. If more goes against us than with us -- sure, 7th is possible.
But the most likely realistic scenario has us battling with Florida, Boston, Ottawa and Tampa for spots 3-6 in the division.