CycloneSweep
Registered User
- Sep 27, 2017
- 48,585
- 40,323
Hell even if they bounce back to their career average (even including their bad years) that would be good."Regression to the mean" can and often does happen.
Lucic is 30 not 35 and apparently in great physical condition... so I think the problems are likely 90% mental. He has an excellent chance of bouncing back and becoming a 50+ point player again.
Klefbom should hopefully bounce back after his injury issues. I'm far from the biggest Klefbom backer here... but I can't see him being as poor as he was last season.
Talbot was extremely crappy early and actually got better as the year went on... not linearly better all season long but definitely finished better than he started. I'd say he has a better than average shot at being closer to a 92% goalie again.
Sekera I think is declining overall slowly so I think it's very likely his peak is behind him... but last season was almost 100% because of his injuries. I don't think there's any way he's that bad again and even if he rebounds to be an average #4 dman.. that's much better than he was last season where he wasn't even a #7.
Overall I think it's very possible (and likely probable) all 4 of those players improve at least somewhat over their performances and that alone likely drives the fortunes of this team higher next season.
Lucic 49 points
Klefbom 30 pts
Sekera 28 pts
Talbot 2.50 gaa, 0.918 s%
Hell the regression to the mean for Talbot based on shots faced this year, would be 18 less goals.