Struck's overthinking preseason boxscore and roster projection corner:
- Eichel is getting pronounced OZS both at-home and on the road and is the #1 offensive line (duh)
- Eichel got the checking line at home and Crosby on the road, expect those splits to continue
- Housley is staggering O'Reilly's matchup across the Reinhart and Larsson lines. Tavares/Malkin was each player's most-matched forward. Just something to keep track of
- Kane-Pominville is a possession hellscape
- The Islanders had over 82% of shots and 9/0 scoring chances with Gorges on the ice. I thought maybe he could hang on as a defensive specialist, but nooooope. Washed
- Beaulieu has posted encouraging splits, but has largely been sheltered outside of the Pens game
- We've seen every version of defensive deployments. Risto got offensive zone minutes against the Leafs, balanced shutdown minutes against the Islanders, and Beauliu-Bogo reprised 4-55's role against the Pens. I think the Islanders game was the most instructive, but Bogosian's injury throws a wrench into things. Interesting to see if Risto or Antipin steps up to that #1 offensive RD role
The biggest question moving forward, is what to do with the totally ineffective Kane/Pominville tandem, especially because there isn't really an obvious answer. Neither is a great fit with a solo Eichel/Reinhart, and Kane-Eichel-Reinhart gets us away from the center spine. It also appears that they don't want to break up the O'Reilly unit, even though 90's RW might be the best spot for Poms.
Unless there's some stubbornness, they'll probably go with some combination of:
Kane-Eichel-Reinhart
Girgensons-O'Reilly-Okposo
Pouliot-Larsson-Pominville
Nolan-Josefson-Griffith
Or
Kane-Eichel-Griffith
Girgensons-O'Reilly-Okposo
Pouliot-Reinhart-Pominville
Nolan-Josefson-Larsson
With Rodrigues as the wildcard, but I'd like to see Housley get more inventive with the lines. Something like...
Girgensons-Eichel-Griffith
Pouliot-O'Reilly-Pominville
Larsson-Reinhart-Okposo
Kane-Josefson-Nolan
With a lot of fluidity on that LW, because I'm really not sure whether Pouliot is dead weight or Girgs/Larry can
really hang.
Projecting the defense is a lot easier though (hopefully Phil realizes Risto is
not his shutdown guy after Friday night).
Beaulieu-Ristolainen (top minutes, high OZS, medium QoC)
Scandella-Antipin (#2 minutes, 50% OZS, top QoC)
McCabe-Tennyson (bottom pairing minutes, low OZS, low QoC)