Gotta ask. Why do people think Smith regularly bounces back after a bad outing ?
I would think that 0-10 in his last 10 playoff games is saying the opposite. No ?
Oilers ran into this goalie carousel situation when they played Chicago years back.
They have two realistic options: Smith or Koskinen.
The best play is to let Smith start the next game.
Here is the thinking:
- if you go straight to Koskinen and he plays well - this is a good outcome, but Kosko is not as good as Smith when both play well.
- if you go straight to Koskinen and he plays bad - then you have to make a hard decision for game 3 (no idea who to start)
- if you let Smith have game 2 and he does well - keep going with him
- if you let Smith have game 2 and he stinks - then you go with Kosko and don't look back - Oilers have no choice.
Back when the Oilers played Chicago, they played Smith in game 1 and he stunk. He let in 5 goals in half a game. The Oilers went with Kosko for the rest of game 1 and the games 2-4. Kosko played poorly and had a .890 save percentage.
Maybe the better play back then would have been to have gone back to Smith in Game 2 of that series. We will never know.
All I know is that two years ago, the Oilers went with Kosko after Smith had a bad start. They did not fare well with Kosko and lost the play in series.
Oilers can't win riding Kosko for the entire playoffs. He may have a good game or two before he has a bad game. The only real option for a potential long playoff run is to go back to Smith. Dump Smith now and riding Kosko gets you bounced by LA.