Prospect Info: Prospect Discussion 2020-21

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ricky0034

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Jun 8, 2010
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hopefully Niederbach at least gets an opportunity in the SHL with Raymond and Soderblom gone

could be a good thing in he long run if he can manage to stick
 

Vector Cereal

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Jan 30, 2020
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I tried to find players from the last 10 years to compare to Berggren. Roughly speaking, players in their D+3 ish year.

Emil Bemstrom, Djugardens (2018/19 D+2) 35 points in 47 games.

Jesper Boqvist, Brynas (2018/19 D+2) 35 points in 51 games.

Oskar Steen, Farjestad (2018/19 D+3) 37 points in 46 games.

Victor Olofsson, Frolunda (2017/18 D+4) 43 point in 50 games.

Oskar Lindblom, Brynas (2016/17 D+3) 47 points in 52 games.

Andreas Johnsson, Frolunda (2015/16 D+3) 44 points in 52 games.

Viktor Arvidsson, Skelleftea (2013/14 D+3 from first eligible) 40 points in 50 games.

William Karlsson, HV71 (2013/14 D+3) 37 points in 55 games.

Calle Jarnkrok, Brynas (2012/13 D+3)
42 points in 53 games.

Jesper Fast, HV71 (2012/13 D+3) 35 points in 47 games.

Johan Larsson, Brynas (2011/12 D+2) 36 points in 49 games.

Oscar Lindberg (42pts in 55, D+3) is the only player so far that never really stuck in the league.

In case Berggren keeps it up, Jakob Silvferberg (54pts in 49, D+3) is the only guy not named Elias Pettersson to go over 1PPG D+3 or younger.

So I'd say 40 in 50 is a good target that should project Berggren anywhere from a good 2nd liner to a solid 3rd liner.


Based on what Berggren has done so far, I'm updating this to show what he still needs to do to hit certain benchmarks.

For 50 points in 50 games: 34 points in 40 = 0.85 P/G
For 45 points in 50 games: 29 points in 40 = 0.725 P/G
For 40 points in 50 games: 24 points in 40 = 0.6 P/G
For 35 points in 50 games: 19 points in 40 = 0.475 P/G

So to hit the lower end of production for the above group, he'll need to produce at a worse rate than he did last year for the rest of the season - hopefully that's quite unlikely.
To hit the 40-45 point threshold, he'll need to keep producing at what would have been a reasonable pace to expect out him going into this year - odds are he falls in this range.
And to hit 1+ P/G he'll need to make this early run more than just a hot streak - this might be expecting a bit much, but the kid has some serious money in the bank, so it's within reach.
 
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