Oilers Playoff Magic Number

guymez

The Seldom Seen Kid
Mar 3, 2004
33,200
13,055
Agreed. Hope for next year maybe but any hope for playoffs was long gone, these two losses just put the nails in the coffin and danced on the grave.

Maybe one more stinker can be the dead parrot sketch.


It takes time to deconstruct and retool.

I am willing to wait until next September to judge this current edition of Management.
 

The Head Crusher

Re-retired
Jan 3, 2008
16,712
2,067
Edmonton
this is a fun thread--how long till we are eliminated

As soon as 2 of these teams magic numbers reach 0.

Pos. | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | PTS | ROW | Magic Number in Points | Magic Number in Wins | Oil to Beat in Pts | Oil to Beat in W
1 | Colorado | 57 | 30 | 19 | 8 | 68 | 23 | 44 | 22 | 59 | 29.5
2 | Nashville | 59 | 27 | 21 | 11 | 65 | 25 | 47 | 23.5 | 52 | 26.0
3 | Minnesota | 58 | 26 | 22 | 10 | 62 | 26 | 50 | 25 | 51 | 25.5
4 | Arizona | 58 | 27 | 25 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 52 | 26 | 49 | 24.5
5 | Vancouver | 58 | 22 | 24 | 12 | 56 | 18 | 56 | 28 | 45 | 22.5
6 | Calgary | 57 | 26 | 28 | 3 | 55 | 24 | 57 | 28.5 | 46 | 23.0
7 | Winnipeg | 58 | 25 | 29 | 4 | 54 | 23 | 58 | 29 | 43 | 21.5
8 | Edmonton | 60 | 22 | 32 | 6 | 50 | 18 | 62 | 31 | --| --
 

nexttothemoon

and again...
Jan 30, 2010
29,641
16,957
Northern AB
http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL.html


Oilers chances at playoffs now are .000193 or 1 in 5181 so it's looking slightly improbable. :)

Oilers are at least pretty consistent though in delivering their level of hopelessness to us all.


Montreal by comparison had a 99.9% chance at playoffs after week 9 of the season and are now down to 6.1%... has to be one of the most remarkable falloffs in NHL history.
 

bone

5-14-6-1
Jun 24, 2003
8,611
7,049
Edmonton
Visit site
As soon as 2 of these teams magic numbers reach 0.

Pos. | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | PTS | ROW | Magic Number in Points | Magic Number in Wins | Oil to Beat in Pts | Oil to Beat in W
1 | Colorado | 57 | 30 | 19 | 8 | 68 | 23 | 44 | 22 | 59 | 29.5
2 | Nashville | 59 | 27 | 21 | 11 | 65 | 25 | 47 | 23.5 | 52 | 26.0
3 | Minnesota | 58 | 26 | 22 | 10 | 62 | 26 | 50 | 25 | 51 | 25.5
4 | Arizona | 58 | 27 | 25 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 52 | 26 | 49 | 24.5
5 | Vancouver | 58 | 22 | 24 | 12 | 56 | 18 | 56 | 28 | 45 | 22.5
6 | Calgary | 57 | 26 | 28 | 3 | 55 | 24 | 57 | 28.5 | 46 | 23.0
7 | Winnipeg | 58 | 25 | 29 | 4 | 54 | 23 | 58 | 29 | 43 | 21.5
8 | Edmonton | 60 | 22 | 32 | 6 | 50 | 18 | 62 | 31 | --| --

Maybe I'm reading this wrong, but maybe those numbers should be checked. By my count the Oilers max points is 94. For Nashville to beat 94 points, they would need 30 points or 15 wins. Unless your magic numbers are to get into the playoffs. Either way, nothing short of 20-2 gives Edmonton even a 50/50 chance at playoffs. Maybe it's time to break out the lottery seed magic number generator again. Eh, why bother, I'm tired of this new 5 in 7 dynasty. The previous was better.

Fun fact, even if Edmonton went .500 here on out, they'd have a 98% chance at one of the top three seeds!!
 

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