misterchainsaw
Preparing PHASE TWO!
What a logjam at the top of the standings right now. The current 5 seed (San Francisco) is actually the only team that controls their own destiny for the #1 seed in the NFC. Seattle can lose a H2H tiebreaker to New Orleans if Green Bay drops a game; Green Bay loses a tiebreaker to either San Francisco or Seattle to H2H or common opponents, respectively; and as long as the NFC West team and Green Bay both win out, New Orleans is stuck in 3rd. (x-clinched playoffs, y-clinched division, z-clinched a bye, *-clinched home field advantage). As always, this exercise ignores the possibility of ties.
ENTERING WEEK 16:
1. x-Seattle - 11-3 (Leads H2H tiebreaker with San Francisco for the division, Leads conference record tiebreaker vs. NO and common opponents tiebreaker vs. Green Bay)
2. x-Green Bay - 11-3 (Leads conference record tiebreaker with New Orleans)
3. y-New Orleans - 11-3
4. Dallas 7-7 (Leads H2H tiebreaker with Philadelphia)
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5. x-San Francisco - 11-3
6. Minnesota - 10-4
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7. LA Rams - 8-6
9. Philadelphia - 7-7
ELIMINATED: Chicago(7-7), Tampa Bay(7-7), Atlanta(5-9), Carolina(5-9), Arizona(4-9-1), Detroit(3-10-1), NY Giants(3-11), Washington(3-11)
CLINCHING SCENARIOS:
- Green Bay clinches the NFC North with a win
- Minnesota clinches a playoff spot with a win
- Minnesota clinches a playoff spot with a LA Rams loss
- Dallas clinches the NFC East with a win
ELIMINATION SCENARIOS:
- Philadelphia is eliminated with a loss
- LA Rams are eliminated with a loss
- LA Rams are eliminated with a Minnesota win
Teams who control their own destiny for home field advantage: San Francisco
Teams who control their own destiny for a first round bye: Seattle, Green Bay
Teams who control their own destiny for a division title: Dallas, Philadelphia
Teams who control their own destiny for a wild card birth: Minnesota
ENTERING WEEK 16:
1. x-Seattle - 11-3 (Leads H2H tiebreaker with San Francisco for the division, Leads conference record tiebreaker vs. NO and common opponents tiebreaker vs. Green Bay)
2. x-Green Bay - 11-3 (Leads conference record tiebreaker with New Orleans)
3. y-New Orleans - 11-3
4. Dallas 7-7 (Leads H2H tiebreaker with Philadelphia)
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5. x-San Francisco - 11-3
6. Minnesota - 10-4
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7. LA Rams - 8-6
9. Philadelphia - 7-7
ELIMINATED: Chicago(7-7), Tampa Bay(7-7), Atlanta(5-9), Carolina(5-9), Arizona(4-9-1), Detroit(3-10-1), NY Giants(3-11), Washington(3-11)
CLINCHING SCENARIOS:
- Green Bay clinches the NFC North with a win
- Minnesota clinches a playoff spot with a win
- Minnesota clinches a playoff spot with a LA Rams loss
- Dallas clinches the NFC East with a win
ELIMINATION SCENARIOS:
- Philadelphia is eliminated with a loss
- LA Rams are eliminated with a loss
- LA Rams are eliminated with a Minnesota win
Teams who control their own destiny for home field advantage: San Francisco
Teams who control their own destiny for a first round bye: Seattle, Green Bay
Teams who control their own destiny for a division title: Dallas, Philadelphia
Teams who control their own destiny for a wild card birth: Minnesota