Empoleon8771
Registered User
Crosby's individual shooting percentage is almost double his career average, while his on ice sh% is maybe 20% lower than normal.
Seeing as how on ice % isn't even guaranteed to result in points for Crosby, he just has to be on the ice when others score, his individual shooting % is obviously helping him way, way more than his drop in on ice %.
I would expect Crosby's ppg to drop as well if his percentages normalize as the season progresses.
You'd have a point with saying on ice shooting% wasn't guranteed points if you weren't talking about someone who drives the offense like Crosby (and McDavid, for that matter). In reality, when those guys are on the ice, they will most likely be included in most goals. An increase in on ice shooting percentage means that the line is scoring more goals, and when you see guys like Sid having points on 80% of goals he's on the ice for, it's perfectly logical to say that their production will increase with an increased on ice shooting%. So again, unless you think Crosby will only finish with 40 assists this year, it's unrealistic to expect his PPG to drop much. His goal totals will obviously fall, but I think that fall will be negated out by a rise in assists per game.
This year, Crosby has been on the ice for 26 ES goals. He has points on 22 of them (84.6%). It's basically the same as his career numbers with that too (81.9% over his career). It's the same exact way with McDavid, McDavid has points on 83.3% of ES goals he has been on the ice for in his career and 83.9% this year.
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